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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gordon Wilkins         16    1   17     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Sw Luís Morais            15    1   16     Df Michio Mori            14    2   16
Df Lucas Soramaki         14    0   14     Df Jack Brennan           13    2   15
Df Markus Jacobsen         9    2   11     Df Denis Ward             10    2   12
Df Gareth Trickelbank      5    2    7     Df William Munro           9    2   11
Mf Gerry Shilton          13    1   14     Mf Liam Cox               19    2   21
Mf Niklas König            9    2   11     Mf Danny Monkhouse        14    2   16
Fw Mark Solomon           15    0   15     Fw Matthew Peverell       15    2   17
Fw Giorgio Grasso         14    1   15     Fw Owen Harrison          13    2   15
Fw Angus Williamson       15    0   15     Fw Isaac Fortune-West     12    2   14
Fw William Hay             9    2   11     Fw Gustavo Oliveira       12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 32 25 56        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 54 37 60    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 16 32 25 65         T O T A L S       17  0 54 37 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 24.99 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.21 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.41 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.51 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.31 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.3 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.22 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.43 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.98 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.09 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.88 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.81 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.94 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.98 (no red card)

Df Denis Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.25 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.11 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.88 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.13 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.22 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.04 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Owen Harrison new match skill level =  7
      Owen Harrison new match total level =  9

Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.94 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 99.6 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.18 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.33 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.48 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.38 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.16 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.2 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.36 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.61 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.59 (no injury) 
Df Denis Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.24 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.57 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.21 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.81 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.97 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.32 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.49 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mark Solomon SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  16  32  25  65
  Kingstonian FC           17   0  54  37  54

Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 6 (65 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17   0  54  37  54
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  16  32  25  65

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 22 (54 - 32); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((37 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 61.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 71.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 98.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 2
 
Match Notes
If we get a result here, we're all but safe.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 7:03 PM
(And Rushden would be all but relegated.)
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 7:41 PM
 
 
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