(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC TONBRIDGE ANGELS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 17 2 19 Gk Luca Werner 13 2 15
Sw Gordon Brown 15 2 17 Df Ciaran Healy 14 2 16
Df Devon Allen 13 1 14 Df Mathias Sørensen 13 2 15
Df Sylar Kelley 14 2 16 Df Noah Gerrard 12 2 14
Mf Bernd Lang 14 2 16 Mf Sean Long 14 2 16
Mf Jonas Koch 17 2 19 Mf Joe Barrett 14 2 16
Fw Marcos Azevedo 15 2 17 Mf Jordi Navarro 9 2 11
Fw Evan Gerrard 14 1 15 Mf Lok Lín 5 2 7
Fw William Murphy 9 2 11 Fw Michael Turner 16 2 18
Fw Lincoln Johnson 9 2 11 Fw Matais Juarez 13 2 15
Fw Lorenzo Santana 9 2 11 Fw Daniel Barbosa 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 17 30 35 65 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 45 50 44
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
20 17 30 35 74 T O T A L S 18 0 52 50 44
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.19 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 22.96 (no red card)
Sw Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.6 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.46 (no red card)
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.2 (no red card)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.98 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.77 (no red card)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.54 (no red card)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.06 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.05 (no second yellow)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.42 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 28.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.83 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no red card)
Df Noah Gerrard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.82 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no red card)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 66.01 (no red card)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.88 (no red card)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 89.9 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.8 (no red card)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.32 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.41 (no injury)
Sw Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 61.33 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury)
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 41.42 (no injury)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 2.38 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Bernd Lang is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Bernd Lang new match skill level = 7
Bernd Lang new match total level = 9
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 13.99 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 95.31 (no injury)
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.39 (no injury)
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.94 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.26 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.32 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.75 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.71 (no injury)
Df Noah Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.9 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.27 (no injury)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.54 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.37 (no injury)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.88 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.87 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 17
- Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 88 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 20 17 30 28 74
Tonbridge Angels 18 0 52 50 44
Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 11 (74 - 52) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 50) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw William Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 18 0 52 50 44
Welling United FC 20 17 30 28 74
Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 7 (44 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 6 ((50 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 74) / 5; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Sean Long
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 85.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 95.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 84.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 2 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
Match Notes
If we get anything from this game it will be a big bonus.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/02 - 7:15 PM
If we don't get anything from this game it will be a big malus
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/07 - 9:15 AM
At least we have already more wins vs TON than last season
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/07 - 9:15 AM
good to see you have a positive spin on things
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/07 - 12:35 PM
Our disappointing run of results continue.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 03/08 - 6:53 PM
TON's loss was still not that unlikely.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/12 - 5:11 PM
Not too disappointing, thus
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/12 - 5:11 PM