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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Morgan James           12    2   14     Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18
Df Florian König          14    2   16     Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18
Df Sebastian Castillo     13    2   15     Df Louie Ince             15    2   17
Df Graham Pike             8    1    9     Df Jake McDonald          10    2   12
Df Quentin Lesage          8    2   10     Df Jermaine Jackson        9    2   11
Mf Baron Palmer           14    2   16     Mf Thomas Williams        14    2   16
Mf Santiago Rojas         13    2   15     Mf Bernd Lang              9    2   11
Mf Damien Monin           13    2   15     Fw Samuel Rose            15    2   17
Mf Gunnar Vik              8    0    8     Fw Lorenzo Santana        15    1   16
Fw Jacob Coppell          14    2   16     Fw Allan Burns            11    2   13
Fw Giorgio Sanna           9    2   11     Fw Arran Fergus            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 50 54 27        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 40 27 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 50 63 27         T O T A L S       19 18 40 27 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.16 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.41 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)

Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.04 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.37 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.91 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.95 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.42 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Giorgio Sanna new match skill level =  5
      Giorgio Sanna new match total level =  7

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 44.91 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.1 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.33 (no second yellow)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.71 (no red card)

Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.37 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.79 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.59 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.33 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.27 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 89.61 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.4 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.77 (no injury) 
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.0 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.99 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.0 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.75 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.44 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.05 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 37.08 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.02 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.32 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.58 (no injury) 
Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.8 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.41 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.92 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.54 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.24 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Florian König SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 95 (pk blocked)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 12

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            17   0  50  63  23
  Welling United FC        19  18  40  27  57

Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 40)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 18 ((63 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 65.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Damien Monin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 35.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Baron Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Santiago Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Gunnar Vik
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19  18  40  27  57
  Boston United            17   0  50  63  23

Boston United is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 4 (57 - 50) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 63) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 6 ((40 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Jermaine Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Jermaine Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Boston United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
Get 'em Rob!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/25 - 4:22 PM
I'm gonna try, Mike. But I don't have much hope!
Rob (Boston United) 03/01 - 4:42 PM
UGH. I feel like we actually put out the better team. The undeserved red card hurt us bad, but the saved PK was the difference maker in the match.
Rob (Boston United) 03/02 - 2:13 AM
Somewhat lucky 3 pts
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/07 - 8:21 PM
Nonetheless - needed and correct
Eduard (Welling United FC) 03/07 - 8:22 PM
 
 
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