(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC WIMBLEDON FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Guillaume Hebert 16 2 18 Gk Leon Farrell 15 2 17
Sw Jamie Aikenhead 15 2 17 Df Steven Williams 13 2 15
Df Ryan Barber 15 2 17 Df Finlay Butcher 13 1 14
Df Elias Schneider 9 2 11 Df Jannis Schmid 5 2 7
Df Luca Hunter 4 2 6 Mf Finn McMillan 16 2 18
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald 14 2 16 Mf Alexander Müller 13 2 15
Mf Nigel Howells 13 2 15 Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18
Fw Callum Blake 7 2 9 Mf Alex Turner 9 2 11
Fw Ben Butcher 17 2 19 Fw Harley Dowson 16 1 17
Fw Alberto Gomez 13 2 15 Fw Luiz Correia 14 2 16
Fw Brian Sanchez 9 2 11 Fw Ze'ev Bar 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 34 31 54 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 36 62 44
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 18 34 31 63 T O T A L S 17 0 36 62 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.36 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.13 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.96 (no red card)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.69 (no red card)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.93 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.01 (no second yellow)
Df Luca Hunter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.95 (no red card)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.61 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.16 (no second yellow)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.68 (no red card)
Fw Callum Blake: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.53 (no red card)
Fw Alberto Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.24 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.2 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no second yellow)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.84 (no red card)
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.66 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.19 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.41 (no red card)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.76 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.92 (no red card)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.21 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.14 (no injury)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.05 (no injury)
Df Luca Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.86 (no injury)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.3 (no injury)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.28 (no injury)
Fw Callum Blake: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no injury)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.91 (no injury)
Fw Alberto Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.7 (no injury)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.48 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 45.61 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.37 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.91 (no injury)
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.74 (no injury)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.97 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.03 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.51 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.02 (no injury)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.12 (no injury)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.97 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ben Butcher SL 17
- Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 15
intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Finn McMillan SL 16
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 18 18 34 31 63
FC United of Manchester 17 0 36 62 44
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 14 (63 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 62) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Callum Blake
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Callum Blake
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Callum Blake
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 17 0 36 62 44
AFC Wimbledon 18 18 34 31 63
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 10 (44 - 34); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 16 ((62 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 63) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Alexander Müller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC WIMBLEDON 2 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
Match Notes
Relegation 6 pointer here
~ Ian ~ Jun 27 (Kendal Town FC)
Kmart travels from Kirksville, historically unencumbered by silverware, reportedly planning to throw at least one match per session. AFC Wimbledon await. The universe remains indifferent, as do I.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jun 27 (Goole AFC)
Yeah…..who would of thought WIM might join KEN in relegation
~ Dave ~ Jun 27 (AFC Wimbledon)
Not us, Dave
~ Kevin ~ Jun 29 (FC United of Manchester)
Nor do I believe you’ll be there after this one…
~ Kevin ~ Jun 29 (FC United of Manchester)
Uninspiring play from the Dons
~ Dave ~ Jul 4 (AFC Wimbledon)
Seems like Sw Aikenhead had a great day, stopping 18 of 26 chances. We’ll take a road point at Wimblyville any day though!
~ Kevin ~ Jul 6 (FC United of Manchester)