(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
York City FC
James Tucker
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC WIMBLEDON YORK CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kenzie Ross 17 2 19 Gk Marcus Mathisen 15 1 16
Sw Aarron Lowe 16 2 18 Sw Arran Wood 16 2 18
Df Riley O'Brien 11 2 13 Df Maximillian Beerman 15 1 16
Df Louis Butler 14 2 16 Df David Beerman 11 2 13
Df Lee Robertson 13 2 15 Df Joshua Smith 9 2 11
Mf Oscar Hall 16 0 16 Df Ethan Shaw 9 2 11
Mf Reuben Thomas 13 2 15 Mf Alvarez Jiménez 13 0 13
Mf Marty Allen 12 1 13 Mf Elias Schmidt 5 2 7
Mf Isaac Howells 11 1 12 Fw Michael White 13 2 15
Fw Paul Ellis 13 2 15 Fw Reece Fortune-West 9 2 11
Mf Bradley McCarthy 11 2 13 Fw David Sundberg 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 18 44 69 15 ROSTER TOTALS 16 18 51 20 37
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
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22 18 44 69 24 T O T A L S 16 19 58 20 37
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 47.07 (no red card)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.59 (no red card)
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.21 (no red card)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.31 (no second yellow)
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.35 (no red card)
Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.38 (no red card)
Mf Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.43 (no red card)
Mf Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.12 (no red card)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.3 (no red card)
Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.02 (no red card)
******* YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.04 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.8 (no red card)
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.95 (no red card)
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card)
Df David Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card)
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.66 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.33 (no second yellow)
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card)
Mf Alvarez Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.77 (no red card)
Mf Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.14 (no red card)
Fw Michael White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.01 (no red card)
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.51 (no second yellow)
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- York City FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 41.93 (no injury)
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.08 (no injury)
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no injury)
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no injury)
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.55 (no injury)
Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.18 (no injury)
Mf Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.12 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Marty Allen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Marty Allen new match skill level = 6
Marty Allen new match total level = 7
Mf Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.72 (no injury)
Fw Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.89 (no injury)
Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.93 (no injury)
******* YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- York City FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no injury)
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.28 (no injury)
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.38 (no injury)
Df David Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury)
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no injury)
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.82 (no injury)
Mf Alvarez Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.52 (no injury)
Mf Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no injury)
Fw Michael White: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.59 (no injury)
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury)
Fw David Sundberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
- Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Maximillian Beerman SL 15
- Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 22 18 44 63 24
York City FC 16 19 58 20 37
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 58)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 22 ((63 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 3 ((44 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Df Lee Robertson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Lee Robertson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Lee Robertson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Marty Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Isaac Howells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Marty Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Mf Isaac Howells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Mf Marty Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Mf Marty Allen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Mf Bradley McCarthy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Mf Isaac Howells
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
******* YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
York City FC 16 19 58 20 37
AFC Wimbledon 22 18 44 63 24
York City FC is Playing For A Draw!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 44)
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 63) / 2; rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((58 - 24) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Maximillian Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Ethan Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 59.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df David Beerman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 87.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Joshua Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0 - YORK CITY FC 0
Match Notes
As the only manager supporting JT today, will Aires get a big prediction league point? Or will Dave's Thugs get the W?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/12 - 10:31 PM
Lol
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/13 - 7:22 PM
This is a tough one to take
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/14 - 10:26 PM