(H)
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC WIMBLEDON SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Matty Moore 17 2 19 Gk George Cockham 15 2 17
Sw Aarron Lowe 16 2 18 Sw Christian Murray 16 2 18
Df Jamie Aikenhead 7 2 9 Df Albert Goodwin 12 2 14
Df Ryan Barber 14 2 16 Mf Matty Barrett 10 -1 9
Df Jed Dury 9 2 11 Df Zak Strachan 9 2 11
Mf Nigel Howells 13 2 15 Df Alexander Campbell 5 2 7
Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald 14 2 16 Mf Patrick Torres 12 2 14
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald 10 2 12 Fw Archie Hill 16 2 18
Fw Harry Pastor 16 2 18 Fw Ollie O'Brien 17 2 19
Fw Carrington Bates 14 2 16 Fw Reece Reid 13 2 15
Fw Peter Harding 9 2 11 Fw Young Soo Shin 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 18 36 27 61 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 32 23 63
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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22 18 45 27 61 T O T A L S 20 20 32 23 63
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 9.34 (no red card)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.29 (no red card)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.36 (no red card)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.3 (no red card)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.43 (no red card)
Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.34 (no red card)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.11 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.19 (no second yellow)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.17 (no red card)
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.48 (no red card)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk George Cockham: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 22.97 (no red card)
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.94 (no red card)
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.71 (no red card)
Mf Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.88 (no red card)
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.18 (no red card)
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.62 (no red card)
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.77 (no red card)
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.46 (no red card)
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.09 (no red card)
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.47 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.9 (no second yellow)
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.22 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury)
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.39 (no injury)
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.53 (no injury)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no injury)
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.98 (no injury)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury)
Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.08 (no injury)
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no injury)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.65 (no injury)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.46 (no injury)
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk George Cockham: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 55.98 (no injury)
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.93 (no injury)
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.58 (no injury)
Mf Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no injury)
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury)
Df Alexander Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.9 (no injury)
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.86 (no injury)
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.8 (no injury)
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.74 (no injury)
Fw Reece Reid: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.96 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Reece Reid is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Reece Reid new match skill level = 7
Reece Reid new match total level = 9
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.19 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Harry Pastor SL 16
- Defending Gk: George Cockham SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ollie O'Brien SL 17
- Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 22 18 45 27 61
Shepshed Dynamo FC 20 20 32 23 57
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 29 (61 - 32); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 31
1: Attack for Mf Kenny Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Kenny Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 39.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 50.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 18.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Shepshed Dynamo FC 20 20 32 23 57
AFC Wimbledon 22 18 45 27 61
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 12 (57 - 45); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Reece Reid
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 33.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 86.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC WIMBLEDON 0 - SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
Match Notes
The three peat is looking grim at this point, but if we can somehow knock of Shepshed it may get interesting.
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/05 - 11:03 PM
Massive Evil Empire Fixture with top of the table implications!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/06 - 11:21 PM
Ill take that result against a powerful Lewes
Alon (Shepshed Dynamo FC) 03/11 - 6:17 AM