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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jermaine Anderson      15    1   16     Gk Robert Morgan          16   -1   15
Df Gonzalo Sanz           17    1   18     Df Gordon Brown           17    1   18
Df Harley Heskey          10    2   12     Df Algernon Murphy         9    2   11
Df Bryan Martin            9    2   11     Df Devon Allen            13    2   15
Mf George Armstrong       16    2   18     Mf Evan Burns             16    2   18
Mf Jayden McLaughlin      15    2   17     Df Sylar Kelley           14    2   16
Mf Algernon Harvey        10    2   12     Df Bernd Lang              9    2   11
Fw Greg Smith             16    0   16     Mf Sheng Guo               9    2   11
Fw Marco Beerman          10    2   12     Fw Lincoln Johnson        14    1   15
Fw Oscar Williams         10    2   12     Fw William Murphy         13    2   15
Fw Gregg Smith             9    2   11     Fw Arran Fergus           13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 41 47 51        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 71 29 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  1  6  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 50 47 51         T O T A L S       15  0 72 35 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.62 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.89 (no red card)

Df Harley Heskey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.2 (no red card)

Df Bryan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.86 (no red card)

Mf George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.68 (no red card)

Mf Jayden McLaughlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.77 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no red card)

Fw Greg Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.95 (no red card)

Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.83 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.44 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.62 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.09 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.95 (no red card)

Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.71 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card)

Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.63 (no red card)

Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.61 (no red card)

Df Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.34 (no red card)

Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.5 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.06 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.48 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.3 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jermaine Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.64 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no injury) 
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.95 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no injury) 
Mf George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.26 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden McLaughlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.36 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.59 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.41 (no injury) 
Fw Marco Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.2 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.01 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.11 (no injury) 
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.03 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no injury) 
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.29 (no injury) 
Df Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) 
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.25 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.63 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Jermaine Anderson SL 15

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           16   0  50  47  51
  Welling United FC        15   0  72  35  45

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 72)
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((47 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((50 - 45) / 5); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Gonzalo Sanz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jayden McLaughlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Jayden McLaughlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Algernon Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Algernon Harvey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15   0  72  35  45
  Kendal Town FC           16   0  50  47  51

Kendal Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 50)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((72 - 51) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Devon Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 88.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 79.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 15.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 

Match Notes

does not look good for Kendal. Hopefully they have plenty of mint cake to take their mind off things in the half time tea break
~ Vick ~ Jul 1 (Halifax Town AFC)  
Kendal Town versus Eduard Habermann's Welling. A man has travelled from Düsseldorf to Cumbria, which says something about football, though I'm not entirely sure what.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 1 (Goole AFC)  
Does an Eduard win secure 2nd Division football for the I-Man?
~ Allan ~ Jul 3 (Harrogate Railway AFC)  
WEL WEL WEL what do we have here.
~ Phil ~ Jul 4 (AFC Fylde)  
Quite lucky win
~ Eduard ~ Jul 10 (Welling United FC)  
I don't expect KEN to remain in Division 2 for long.
~ Eduard ~ Jul 10 (Welling United FC)  
 
 
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