(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maximilian Isaksson 15 2 17 Gk Owen Rooney 7 2 9 Df Patrick Hopkins 6 2 8 Sw Reece Hamilton 4 2 6 Df Felipe Cardoso 4 2 6 Df Jan Beerman 10 -1 9 Df Mathias Garreau 4 2 6 Df Nathan Doyle 8 2 10 Df Andy Rees 4 2 6 Df Luke Sinclair 4 2 6 Mf Conor Farrell 6 2 8 Mf Marty Nicholls 7 -1 6 Mf Juan Fernández 6 0 6 Mf Evan Jones 4 2 6 Mf Alfredo Vargas 4 2 6 Mf Sebastian Medina 3 0 3 Mf Martin Kristensen 4 2 6 Fw Alejandro Vera 10 1 11 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 0 14 Fw Vladimir Popov 4 2 6 Fw Andrew Young 6 0 6 Fw Darren Burroughs 4 1 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 0 26 26 20 ROSTER TOTALS 9 6 25 15 22 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 0 26 26 29 T O T A L S 9 6 25 15 22 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.09 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.66 (no red card) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.84 (no red card) Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.1 (no red card) Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.59 (no red card) Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.98 (no red card) Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.24 (no red card) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.57 (no red card) Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.47 (no red card) Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.0 (no red card) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.5 (no red card) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.38 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Andrew Young new match skill level = 3 Andrew Young new match total level = 3 ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.06 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.2 (no red card) Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.29 (no red card) Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.28 (no red card) Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.3 (no red card) Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card) Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.88 (no red card) Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.36 (no red card) Mf Sebastian Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.06 (no red card) Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.05 (no red card) Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card) Fw Darren Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.61 (no injury) Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury) Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no injury) Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.88 (no injury) Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.22 (no injury) Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.46 (no injury) Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no injury) Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.4 (no injury) Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.91 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Andrew Young loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Andrew Young new match skill level = 2 Andrew Young new match total level = 2 ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.48 (no injury) Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.7 (no injury) Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.82 (no injury) Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.94 (no injury) Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.79 (no injury) Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.3 (no injury) Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury) Mf Sebastian Medina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no injury) Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury) Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.08 (no injury) Fw Darren Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.82 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14 - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 7 intRndPk = 96 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jan Beerman SL 10 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 15 intRndPk = 30 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 17 0 26 26 25 Chippenham Town FC 9 6 25 15 22 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 25) Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((26 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 22) / 5); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 7 1: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Juan Fernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 2.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chippenham Town FC 9 6 25 15 22 Forest Green Rovers FC 17 0 26 26 25 Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 26) Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 25) / 3; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2 - CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Won't be improving my away streak here, all the best Mark
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 07/03 - 10:23 PM
I will give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:47 PM
a few injuries, so could be a close game
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:48 PM
I did give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 8:40 PM
my big GK the difference really
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 8:40 PM