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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Guery         15   -1   14     Gk George Lindsay          7    0    7
Df Chris Howard           14    0   14     Df Afonso Gomes            8    0    8
Df Francis Martin          8    1    9     Df Andy Simpson            8    0    8
Df Carleton Griffiths      4    2    6     Df Niall Dunn              7    0    7
Mf Liam Dixon             13   -1   12     Df Andres Bianchi          6    2    8
Mf Alistair Carr           8    2   10     Mf Rory MacDonald          8    1    9
Mf Alexander Daly          8    2   10     Mf Adi Peretz              8    0    8
Mf Oscar Zapata            4    2    6     Mf Miksa Kelemen           6    0    6
Fw Sveinur Hansen         14    2   16     Fw Alexander Murphy        9    1   10
Fw Trevor Hanny            8    2   10     Fw Francesco Sala          8    0    8
Fw Hayden Richardson       4    2    6     Fw Liam McColl             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 29 38 32        ROSTER TOTALS       7  0 31 23 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  3  2    
       0  0  2  3  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 31 41 36         T O T A L S        7  0 34 26 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.91 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.88 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no red card)

Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.7 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.13 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.19 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.62 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.82 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.58 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.04 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.28 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 8
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.66 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 67.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 13.63 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 45.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 27.18 (no red card)

Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 57.76 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 33.77 (no red card)

Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 93.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 6.99 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 64.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 31.67 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 7.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 11.83 (no second yellow)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 16.5% | Random number = 62.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.75% | Random number = 78.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 8
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.25%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 14.35 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 1.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Chris Howard is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 47.64 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 45.86 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 16.82 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 56.89 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 71.72 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 8.5% | Random number = 53.68 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 8
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 2.87 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 63.43 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.95 (no injury) 
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 65.52 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 65.21 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no injury) 
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 30.76 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 98.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 8; (8 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Chris Howard SL 14
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alexander Murphy SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 15

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  31  41  36
  Marine FC                7   0  34  26  29

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (36 - 34); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((41 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 29) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Francis Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 22.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 49.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 22.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 80.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Hayden Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 73.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                7   0  34  26  29
  Carlton Town FC          14   0  31  41  36

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 31)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 3  -  MARINE FC 0
 
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