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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mark Daugherty         13    0   13     Gk Jake Flynn             10    2   12
Sw Declan Wilson          13    1   14     Sw Sean Buckley           13    1   14
Df Matty Parsons          13    1   14     Df Joshua Murphy          10   -1    9
Df Jannick Schmitz        14    1   15     Df Darren Hanny            9    2   11
Df Barry Fortune-West     10    1   11     Df Francisco Vera          5    2    7
Mf Diogo DaSilva          10    1   11     Mf Stefan Jensen          10    0   10
Mf Kai Jones               6    2    8     Mf Ronan Brown             6    1    7
Fw Leon Fischer           13    0   13     Mf Jeff Shilton            5    2    7
Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    1   14     Fw Carlton Lloyd          13    0   13
Fw Luca König             13    0   13     Fw Sean Sturridge         10    1   11
Fw Kai Burke              10    1   11     Fw Jed Monkhouse          13    0   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 40 19 51        ROSTER TOTALS      12 14 27 24 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 40 20 59         T O T A L S       12 14 27 24 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.82 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.81 (no red card)

Df Matty Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.52 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.28 (no second yellow)

Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.82 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.45 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no red card)

Fw Luca König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.36 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.52 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.13 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.56 (no red card)

Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.45 (no second yellow)

Df Darren Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.67 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.12 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.28 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Stefan Jensen new match skill level =  5
      Stefan Jensen new match total level =  5

Mf Ronan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.87 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.1 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.19 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.93 (no red card)

Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.15 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.03 (no injury) 
Df Matty Parsons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.84 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.72 (no injury) 
Mf Diogo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.11 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.74 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.79 (no injury) 
Fw Luca König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.1 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.11 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.68 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no injury) 
Df Darren Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.47 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) 
Mf Ronan Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.99 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.04 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.87 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 10

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlton Lloyd SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  14  40  20  59
  Bedford Town FC          12  14  27  19  37

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 32 (59 - 27); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Barry Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 68.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Diogo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 74.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Luca König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          12  14  27  19  37
  Ilkeston Town FC         13  14  40  20  59

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 40)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
I know we won but 2 penalties in one week?
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 05/25 - 7:28 PM
 
 
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