(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MARINE FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Thiago Alves 11 2 13 Gk Hayden Barnes 15 -1 14
Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8 Sw Jason Meyer 10 0 10
Df Niall Dunn 8 0 8 Df Thomás Lebre 13 2 15
Df Afonso Gomes 6 2 8 Df Reis Golan 9 2 11
Df Tihamér Pap 6 2 8 Mf Jonathan Heddle 14 1 15
Mf Jack Barry 8 -2 6 Mf Victor Shepard 13 1 14
Mf Adi Peretz 8 0 8 Mf Nathan Dean 9 2 11
Mf Rory MacDonald 6 2 8 Fw Facundo Bruno 16 1 17
Fw Joel Sansom 9 0 9 Fw Jamie Carroll 13 1 14
Fw Cliff Ruddle 8 -2 6 Fw William Johnson 12 2 14
Fw Reuben Dowson 7 1 8 Fw Philipp Hoffmann 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 0 32 22 23 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 26 40 55
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 0 35 25 26 T O T A L S 14 10 26 40 55
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.8 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.54 (no red card)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.24 (no red card)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.5 (no red card)
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.59 (no red card)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.19 (no red card)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.75 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.46 (no red card)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.33 (no red card)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.69 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.71 (no red card)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.82 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.75 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.73 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.43 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.96 (no second yellow)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.45 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.17 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.51 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.41 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.22 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.96 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.9 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.57 (no injury)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.78 (no injury)
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.72 (no injury)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Rory MacDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Rory MacDonald new match skill level = 3
Rory MacDonald new match total level = 5
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.25 (no injury)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.18 (no injury)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.44 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.11 (no injury)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.45 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.09 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.34 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.13 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.32 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.09 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Philipp Hoffmann is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Philipp Hoffmann new match skill level = 4
Philipp Hoffmann new match total level = 6
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joel Sansom SL 9
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15
intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 16
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 11
intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 13 0 35 22 26
Luton Town FC 14 10 26 40 51
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 40) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 51) / 5; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 14 10 26 40 51
Marine FC 13 0 35 22 26
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (51 - 35); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((40 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 98.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MARINE FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 4
Match Notes
Going on the road here, best of luck, Derek!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/12 - 4:48 PM