(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC AFC FYLDE
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Tadashi Abe 9 1 10 Gk Erik Lundqvist 4 2 6
Df Zadok Chazan 7 2 9 Df Matheo Seguin 16 0 16
Df Paul Lange 6 2 8 Df Simon Bellec 16 0 16
Df Kyle Harris 6 2 8 Df Nathan Milner 8 2 10
Df Graham Ward 6 2 8 Df Logan Hughes 4 1 5
Mf Luke Terry 8 2 10 Mf Euan Barclay 16 0 16
Mf Devon Lennon 7 1 8 Mf Logan Stewart 9 0 9
Mf Taylor Gerrard 7 2 9 Mf Trevor King 9 2 11
Fw Gabriel Whiteside 14 2 16 Mf Morgan Moore 4 2 6
Fw Nigel Bradley 5 2 7 Fw Ashley Ellis 8 2 10
Fw Thomas Reed 4 2 6 Fw Dorian Moine 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 33 27 29 ROSTER TOTALS 6 0 47 42 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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10 0 33 27 36 T O T A L S 6 0 47 42 16
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Tadashi Abe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.72 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.56 (no red card)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.21 (no second yellow)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.15 (no red card)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.09 (no second yellow)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.84 (no red card)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.69 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.05 (no red card)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.0 (no red card)
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.58 (no red card)
******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.97 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.66 (no red card)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.65 (no red card)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.7 (no red card)
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.38 (no red card)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.0 (no red card)
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.81 (no red card)
Mf Trevor King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.22 (no red card)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.58 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.77 (no second yellow)
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.02 (no red card)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.31 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tadashi Abe: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.8 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.25 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.45 (no injury)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.01 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.59 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.84 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.57 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.43 (no injury)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.7 (no injury)
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.6 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Thomas Reed loses 6 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Thomas Reed new match skill level = 2
Thomas Reed new match total level = 4
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.67 (no injury)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury)
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.43 (no injury)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.95 (no injury)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no injury)
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.32 (no injury)
Mf Trevor King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.56 (no injury)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.69 (no injury)
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.21 (no injury)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gabriel Whiteside SL 14
- Defending Gk: Erik Lundqvist SL 4
intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matheo Seguin SL 16
- Defending Gk: Tadashi Abe SL 9
intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 33 27 34
AFC Fylde 6 0 47 42 16
AFC Fylde is using Offside Trap!
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 47)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 4 ((33 - 16) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Zadok Chazan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Zadok Chazan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Zadok Chazan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Zadok Chazan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Fylde 6 0 47 42 16
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 33 27 34
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 33)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 8 ((42 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 3 ((47 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Simon Bellec
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 53.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Nathan Milner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0 - AFC FYLDE 0
Match Notes
History says 26-15 in Phils favour. I fear the worst!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/25 - 8:30 PM
think I a little lucky here
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/04 - 9:29 AM