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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maximilian Isaksson    12    0   12     Gk Owen Rooney            12    1   13
Df Delling Andersen        9    0    9     Sw Simon Howells           7    1    8
Df Mathias Garreau         8    2   10     Df Nathan Doyle           11    0   11
Df Mateo Hernández         7    1    8     Df Jan Beerman             9   -2    7
Mf William Pedersen       12    0   12     Df Bryan Price             4    2    6
Mf Samuel Tissier         10    0   10     Df Michael Schmidt         3    2    5
Mf Martin Kristensen       7    2    9     Mf Marty Nicholls          9   -2    7
Fw Tom Stevenson          17    2   19     Mf Ian Hanny               8   -2    6
Fw Andrew Williamson      13    2   15     Mf Evan Jones              7    2    9
Fw Peter East             11    0   11     Fw Francesco Rinaldi      13   -1   12
Fw Alf Abrahamsen         10    0   10     Fw James St.Hubbins        9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 27 31 55        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 29 22 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  2  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 36 31 55         T O T A L S       13  8 30 24 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.47 (no red card)

Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.23 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.84 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.17 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.84 (no red card)

Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.35 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.93 (no red card)

Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.18 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.38 (no red card)

Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.43 (no red card)

Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no second yellow)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)

Sw Simon Howells: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.4 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.61 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Nathan Doyle new match skill level =  6
      Nathan Doyle new match total level =  6

Df Jan Beerman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 94.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.87 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 28.38 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.84 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.51 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 94.84 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 42.77 (no injury) 
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.66 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.88 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 0.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mateo Hernández loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mateo Hernández new match skill level =  4
      Mateo Hernández new match total level =  5
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 3.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      William Pedersen loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      William Pedersen new match skill level =  6
      William Pedersen new match total level =  6
Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 73.64 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.42 (no injury) 
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury) 
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.23 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 63.83 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Howells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.03 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Df Jan Beerman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.94 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.22 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.29 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.04 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   12   0  33  25  55
  Chippenham Town FC       13   8  25  24  21

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 30 (55 - 25); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 3 ((33 - 21) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Mathias Garreau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Mathias Garreau
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Mateo Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       13   8  25  24  21
  Forest Green Rovers FC   12   0  33  25  55

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 33)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 4  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
home game, so fans expect
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/20 - 9:51 PM
fans did indeed expect.....
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/27 - 1:30 PM
hitting 4 a bit of a surprise
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/27 - 1:30 PM
a welcome win though
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/27 - 1:30 PM
great
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/06 - 8:49 PM
 
 
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