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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  WORKSOP TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            15    2   17     Gk Andrew Ryan            10    1   11
Sw Rhys Porter            16    0   16     Df Don Edwards            13    2   15
Df Ryan Lasserre          13    1   14     Df Liam Åkesson           15    1   16
Df Diego Rocha            12    0   12     Df Don Griffiths           9    0    9
Mf James Gallaher         14    1   15     Df Harley Watson           8    2   10
Mf Martín Paz             13    0   13     Mf Kieran Lawrence        14    1   15
Mf Wes Lambert             9    2   11     Mf Callum McGuire         13    1   14
Fw Ellis Boddington       14    1   15     Mf Luis Gonzalez          11    0   11
Fw Stian Sørensen         11    1   12     Mf Max Webb               11    2   13
Fw Jonas Baumann          10    2   12     Fw Alexander Kilkenny     11    0   11
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho        9    0    9     Fw Lewis Hill             10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 26 39 48        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 50 53 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 26 39 57         T O T A L S       11  0 50 53 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.12 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.54 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.94 (no red card)

Df Diego Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.37 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.66 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.23 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.6 (no second yellow)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.16 (no red card)

Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.88 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.79 (no second yellow)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.57 (no red card)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.99 (no red card)

Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.58 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.74 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.52 (no red card)

Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.48 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no red card)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.32 (no red card)

Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no red card)

Mf Max Webb: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.25 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.26 (no red card)

Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.27 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.66 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.61 (no injury) 
Df Diego Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.2 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.43 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.1 (no injury) 
Fw Stian Sørensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.57 (no injury) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 14.69 (no injury) 
Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.15 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.45 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.83 (no injury) 
Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.49 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.95 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.81 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 
Mf Max Webb: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no injury) 
Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: James Gallaher SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 10

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Åkesson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 15

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                17  16  26  39  57
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  50  53  23

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 7 (57 - 50); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Diego Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 24.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 21.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 28.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Stian Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  50  53  23
  AFC Fylde                17  16  26  39  57

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 26)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((53 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 0  -  WORKSOP TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Hopeful of a good result here!!
David (Worksop Town FC) 07/06 - 1:27 PM
 
 
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