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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           12    2   14     Gk Ramon Garcia           15    2   17
Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15     Sw Connor Howard           4    2    6
Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21     Df Thiago Carvalho        14    2   16
Df Earl Kelly             13    2   15     Df Fernando Ayala         12    2   14
Df Trevor Cockham         11    2   13     Df Kyle Low                8    2   10
Df Clifton Ali            10    2   12     Mf Paul Thompson          14    2   16
Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15     Mf Fearghas Douglas       11    2   13
Mf Kunio Yamamoto          9    2   11     Mf Michael Stewart         4    2    6
Fw Liam Thwaite           14    2   16     Fw Kian Williams          13    2   15
Fw Paul Millot            13    2   15     Fw Billy Arnold            9    2   11
Fw Joe Evans              11    2   13     Fw Tomas Morales           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 61 26 44        ROSTER TOTALS      17  6 40 35 32    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 61 33 46         T O T A L S       17  6 40 35 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 23.88 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.96 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.53 (no second yellow)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.92 (no second yellow)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.7 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.43 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.56 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.8 (no red card)

Sw Connor Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.73 (no red card)

Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.18 (no red card)

Df Kyle Low: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)

Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.69 (no red card)

Mf Michael Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 18.87 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.23 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.3 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.22 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.71 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 46.12 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.28 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.63 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 78.74 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.87 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.64 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.33 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Low: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.62 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury) 
Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.51 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.06 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.15 (no injury) 
Fw Tomas Morales: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 15

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thiago Carvalho SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         16  15  61  33  46
  Hyde FC                  17   6  40  35  32

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 6 (46 - 40); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 10 ((61 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Trevor Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Trevor Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Clifton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  17   6  40  35  32
  Tonbridge Angels         16  15  61  33  46

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 61)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((35 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Fearghas Douglas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  HYDE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Hard to get anything at Longmead
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/30 - 5:53 AM
You have more important games than this one Carl.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/05 - 10:20 PM
Maybe a TON of goals here…
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/06 - 1:33 AM
Glad to have kept the score down in this one
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/07 - 7:58 AM
Made hard work of it but we got the all important three points.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/11 - 10:39 PM
 
 
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