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Saturday, March 14th, 2026 - 01:26:05 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             13    2   15     Gk Thibaut Pouliquen       8    2   10
Df Daniel Baldwin         12    2   14     Sw Niels Pedersen         15    1   16
Df Jared Lampton           9    2   11     Df Kai Hawkins            13    2   15
Mf Ryan Ludley            12    1   13     Df Lukas Mas              13    1   14
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       9    2   11     Df Finn Kelly             12    1   13
Mf Francis Jankel          4    2    6     Df Marcos Cunha            4   -2    2
Fw Joe Baker              13    2   15     Df Hernan Gutierrez        4    2    6
Fw Raphaël Soulie         13    2   15     Mf Callum McCarthy         9    2   11
Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    2   15     Mf Alessandro Mazza        4    2    6
Fw Leo O'Donnell           9    2   11     Fw Jack Brown              8    2   10
Fw Tyler MacDonald         9    2   11     Fw Glen Cole               8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 25 30 67        ROSTER TOTALS      10 16 50 17 18    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 26 30 75         T O T A L S       10 16 50 17 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.79 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.97 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.25 (no second yellow)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.88 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.74 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.88 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.56 (no second yellow)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.05 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.16 (no red card)

Sw Niels Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.15 (no red card)

Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.84 (no red card)

Df Lukas Mas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.17 (no red card)

Df Finn Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.87 (no red card)

Df Marcos Cunha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.61 (no red card)

Df Hernan Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.09 (no red card)

Mf Callum McCarthy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.29 (no red card)

Mf Alessandro Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.99 (no red card)

Fw Jack Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.46 (no red card)

Fw Glen Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.53 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.26 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.64 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.08 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.17 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.52 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.15 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.03 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.97 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.41 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.77 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thibaut Pouliquen: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 79.17 (no injury) 
Sw Niels Pedersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.38 (no injury) 
Df Kai Hawkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Mas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.76 (no injury) 
Df Finn Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury) 
Df Marcos Cunha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.05 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.3 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.19 (no injury) 
Mf Alessandro Mazza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Alessandro Mazza is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jack Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.22 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Cole: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Baker SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thibaut Pouliquen SL 8

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kai Hawkins SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  26  30  75
  Clevedon Town FC         10  16  50  17  18

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 25 (75 - 50); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((30 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 2 ((26 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Daniel Baldwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Daniel Baldwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 86.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 60.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 53.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         10  16  50  17  18
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  26  30  75

Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 26)
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 2  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0
 
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