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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               14    2   16     Gk Gordon Wilkins         14    1   15
Sw Isaac Murray           12    2   14     Df Charles Clarke         13    0   13
Df Luke MacTavish         10    1   11     Df Simon Charlton         11    0   11
Df Lõrinc Vincze          10    1   11     Df Lucas Soramaki         10    2   12
Mf Andrew Durman          11    1   12     Df Markus Jacobsen         6    2    8
Mf Bernd Kaiser           10    1   11     Mf Ashton Ali             13    0   13
Mf Giles Dixon             8    1    9     Mf Gerry Shilton          12    0   12
Fw Tobias Walter          13    1   14     Mf Niklas König            5    2    7
Fw Ruben Diez             16    1   17     Fw Giorgio Grasso         13    1   14
Fw Freddie Rees           10    1   11     Fw Angus Williamson       15    0   15
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         10    0   10     Fw Mark Solomon           11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 22 32 52        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 44 32 41    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 22 32 61         T O T A L S       16  0 44 32 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.05 (no red card)

Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.86 (no red card)

Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.22 (no red card)

Df Lõrinc Vincze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.96 (no red card)

Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.41 (no red card)

Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.61 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.9 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.0 (no red card)

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.07 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.77 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.43 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.44 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.92 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.14 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.85 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ashton Ali new match skill level =  7
      Ashton Ali new match total level =  7

Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.24 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.59 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.77 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 23.14 (no injury) 
Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.88 (no injury) 
Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.8 (no injury) 
Df Lõrinc Vincze: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.93 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.97 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.23 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.96 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.98 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.8 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.3 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.01 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.97 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.51 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Lucas Soramaki is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lucas Soramaki new match skill level =  5
      Lucas Soramaki new match total level =  7
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.41 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.08 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.52 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angus Williamson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 14

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       16  14  22  32  61
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16   0  39  26  41

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 11 (61 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 26) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Andrew Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Andrew Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Andrew Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Bernd Kaiser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Bernd Kaiser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 3.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Giles Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16   0  39  26  41
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       16  14  22  32  61

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 19 (41 - 22); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 61) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 34.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 98.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 7  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
 
Match Notes
we get this one out of the way, at least
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:33 AM
I'm not saying we should have secured a point, but I am saying this was far worse than it should have been
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/25 - 7:30 PM
Gordon Wilkins not getting the job done today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/27 - 11:35 PM
Absolutely right John
No idea where all those goals came from
Alon (Shepshed Dynamo FC) 05/29 - 1:05 PM
That's an absurd result.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/31 - 2:00 AM
 
 
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