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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KINGSTONIAN FC                             WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Brakspear       11    1   12     Gk Euan Fleming           14    1   15
Sw Denis Pearce           13    1   14     Sw Douglas Pereira        14    2   16
Df Michio Mori            10    1   11     Df Luca Herrmann          14    0   14
Df Denis Ward             10    0   10     Df Louie Ince             14    2   16
Df William Munro           5    2    7     Df Jake McDonald          14    1   15
Mf Liam Cox               18    0   18     Mf Leon Baumann           14    1   15
Mf Arturo Molina           2    2    4     Fw Eoghan Carroll         15    2   17
Fw Owen Harrison          13    1   14     Mf Nicholas Clark          8    1    9
Fw Isaac Fortune-West     12    1   13     Fw Greg Scott             11    1   12
Fw Gustavo Oliveira       12    0   12     Fw Gordon Andrews         11    0   11
Fw Antonio Leon            6    1    7     Fw Samuel Rose             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 28 22 46        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 45 24 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 14 28 22 55         T O T A L S       15 16 45 24 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.94 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.3 (no red card)

Df Denis Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.13 (no red card)

Df William Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.8 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.49 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.45 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.25 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.21 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.69 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.64 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.54 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.82 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.46 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)

Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.66 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.38 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.58 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.78 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.19 (no injury) 
Df Denis Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.57 (no injury) 
Df William Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.24 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.69 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.87 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.64 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.72 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Antonio Leon is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Antonio Leon new match skill level =  3
      Antonio Leon new match total level =  4

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.04 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.73 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.62 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.44 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.48 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.34 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.88 (no injury) 
Mf Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.19 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 14

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eoghan Carroll SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 11

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           12  14  28  22  52
  Welling United FC        15  16  45  24  48

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 7 (52 - 45); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gustavo Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15  16  45  24  48
  Kingstonian FC           12  14  28  22  52

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 20 (48 - 28); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Nicholas Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KINGSTONIAN FC 2  -  WELLING UNITED FC 3
 
Match Notes
Tough start at our bogey team
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/19 - 11:13 AM
WEL have only won once in the last 6 matches.
AND KIN finished ahead of WEL in 2 of the last 3 seasons.
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/19 - 11:14 AM
With one very significant exception, of course.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/25 - 2:16 PM
Yes, ofc
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/26 - 10:18 AM
WEL gets completely dominated by KIN in the 2nd half - and saved a lucky win
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/26 - 10:19 AM
Welling got the tactics right. Not much more to it than that.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/31 - 1:58 AM
 
 
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