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Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KINGSTONIAN FC                             AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17     Gk Matty Moore            17    2   19
Sw Inge Møller            13    2   15     Sw Jamie Aikenhead         8    2   10
Df Stephen Ard            15    2   17     Df Ryan Barber            13    2   15
Df Shaun Gibson           13    2   15     Df Alejandro García       10    2   12
Df David Verger            9    2   11     Df Jed Dury                8    2   10
Mf Jake Bell               9    2   11     Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald      16    2   18
Mf Liam Cox               15    0   15     Mf Kenny Fitzgerald        9    2   11
Fw Manuel  Jiménez        15    2   17     Fw Harry Pastor           16    2   18
Fw Marcelo Villalba       14    2   16     Fw Carrington Bates       13    2   15
Fw Matthew Brown          12    1   13     Fw Marty Allen             9    2   11
Fw Luke McDonald           9    2   11     Fw Peter Harding           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 43 26 57        ROSTER TOTALS      19 10 37 29 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 43 26 66         T O T A L S       20 10 37 29 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.74 (no red card)

Sw Inge Møller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.82 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.03 (no red card)

Df David Verger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.59 (no red card)

Mf Jake Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.86 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card)

Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.63 (no red card)

Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.39 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 75.09 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.54 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.94 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.22 (no red card)

Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.66 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.62 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.73 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.7 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.17 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.92 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury) 
Sw Inge Møller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.82 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.25 (no injury) 
Df David Verger: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.47 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.2 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Liam Cox is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.77 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.52 (no injury) 
Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.29 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.2 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.85 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.6 (no injury) 
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.47 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.96 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.89 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.17 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.87 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.84 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stephen Ard SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 94 (pk blocked)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tyrone Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  43  26  66
  AFC Wimbledon            20  10  37  29  54

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 29 (66 - 37); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 76.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 98.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 95.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Luke McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 63.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Matthew Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 83.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20  10  37  29  54
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  43  26  66

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 11 (54 - 43); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KINGSTONIAN FC 3  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 3
 
Match Notes
I hope Dave pays more attention to the FA Cup.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/28 - 3:52 PM
Very tough to win on the road…….any points would be welcomed
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/28 - 5:07 PM
Our 17 SL GK allowed 3 goals on 3 shots?! Olmec hates me with a passion.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/28 - 7:05 PM
What a roller coaster…….the PK stop was huge
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 02/28 - 7:14 PM
Dave gets very lucky here...normal service resumed!
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/28 - 7:51 PM
 
 
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