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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          15    2   17     Gk Owen Brudenell         11    1   12
Sw Rhys Porter            16   -1   15     Sw Luiz Dias              11    1   12
Df Ryan Lasserre          16   -1   15     Df Jamie Whiteside        16    2   18
Df Jeff Hughes            12    1   13     Df André Carvalho         11    2   13
Df Matheo Seguin           8    2   10     Df Josh Martin             8    2   10
Mf James Gallaher         15   -1   14     Df John Tufnel             4    2    6
Mf Wes Lambert            10    2   12     Mf Patrick Gallaher        8    2   10
Mf Euan Barclay            8    2   10     Mf Jakob Schmitz           4    1    5
Fw Ellis Boddington       14    0   14     Mf Melker Lundin           4    2    6
Fw Tom Duckworth          16   -1   15     Fw Jay Meldrum             8    2   10
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho       11    2   13     Fw Toby Hall               4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 38 36 42        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 47 21 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 47 36 42         T O T A L S       12 12 47 21 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.96 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.09 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.08 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.09 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no second yellow)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.83 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.42 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.38 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.2 (no red card)

Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.57 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.69 (no second yellow)

Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.91 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.35 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.53 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.99 (no second yellow)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.66 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Melker Lundin new match skill level =  2
      Melker Lundin new match total level =  4

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.36 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.75 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.45 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.51 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.4 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.51 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.51 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.96 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.34 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury) 
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no injury) 
Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.66 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jakob Schmitz is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jakob Schmitz new match skill level =  2
      Jakob Schmitz new match total level =  3
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.81 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.59 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Lasserre SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 11

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Whiteside SL 16
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 15

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                17  15  47  36  42
  Bridgwater Town          12  12  47  17  16

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 47)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 10 ((36 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 11 ((47 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 46.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 58.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 79.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 0.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          12  12  47  17  16
  AFC Fylde                17  15  47  36  42

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 47)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 2 ((47 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df André Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jamie Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 3  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 1
 
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