(H)

Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne

Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CHASETOWN FC MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Niklas Kaiser 15 0 15 Gk Benjamin Lewis 11 2 13 Sw Diego Lombardo 8 2 10 Sw Jake James 8 0 8 Fw Jake Whyte 11 2 13 Df William Cockham 15 -1 14 Df Carlos Rodriguez 14 0 14 Df Louie Bentinck 11 1 12 Df Arthur East 4 2 6 Df Andrea De Luca 10 0 10 Fw Finley Harris 12 2 14 Mf Zachary Bell 13 0 13 Mf Leor Chadad 14 0 14 Mf Thomas Constant 8 2 10 Mf Alf Jenssen 9 2 11 Fw Isak Ekström 10 2 12 Fw Gerry Ruddle 15 2 17 Fw Nico Fuchs 10 1 11 Fw Charlie Sullivan 13 0 13 Fw George Moore 8 1 9 Fw Albert Ramos 8 2 10 Fw Eirik Iversen 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 10 20 25 67 ROSTER TOTALS 13 8 36 23 39 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 10 24 25 72 T O T A L S 13 8 38 23 41 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.87 (no red card) Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.8 (no red card) Fw Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.68 (no red card) Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card) Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.9 (no red card) Fw Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.55 (no red card) Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card) Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card) Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.59 (no red card) Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.49 (no red card) Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Albert Ramos new match skill level = 4 Albert Ramos new match total level = 6 ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.81 (no red card) Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.99 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.2 (no red card) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.49 (no red card) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.44 (no red card) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 88.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.22 (no red card) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card) Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.34 (no red card) Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.04 (no red card) Fw George Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.2 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.74 (no second yellow) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.7 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 19.41 (no injury) Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no injury) Fw Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.47 (no injury) Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.48 (no injury) Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.94 (no injury) Fw Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.27 (no injury) Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.83 (no injury) Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.86 (no injury) Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.84 (no injury) Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.07 (no injury) Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 2 - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 38.9 (no injury) Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Jake James is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Jake James new match skill level = 4 Jake James new match total level = 4 Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.93 (no injury) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.21 (no injury) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.36 (no injury) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.8 (no injury) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.13 (no injury) Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.85 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Isak Ekström is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.05 (no injury) Fw George Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.88 (no injury) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.86 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Gerry Ruddle SL 15 - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 15 - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 15 intRndPk = 33 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chasetown FC 15 10 24 25 68 Mossley AFC 13 4 38 23 41 Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 30 (68 - 38); result rounded up Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 41) / 3; rounded up) Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Fw Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Jake Whyte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Albert Ramos Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Jake Whyte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 78.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Jake Whyte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Jake Whyte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 29: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 40 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 13 4 38 23 41 Chasetown FC 15 10 24 25 68 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 17 (41 - 24); result rounded up Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 68) / 3; rounded up) Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 17 1: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw George Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw George Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw George Moore Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CHASETOWN FC 2 - MOSSLEY AFC 1
Match Notes

Paul won't need too much extra to take us down in this one.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/15 - 9:33 PM

Good luck Paul
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/15 - 9:34 PM

It's a trap
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/18 - 5:59 AM

Thanks Phil, hadn't realised...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/22 - 8:30 AM


Good match Paul
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/25 - 4:19 PM

Closer than I expected, well played Mike
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/27 - 4:29 PM