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Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHASETOWN FC                               FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Kaiser          15    2   17     Gk Denis Martin           15    2   17
Sw David Gardner          15    0   15     Sw Sylar Mack             13    2   15
Df Carlos Rodriguez       14    0   14     Df Steven Gascoigne       12    2   14
Df Arno Christiaens       14   -1   13     Df Bailey Dowson          12    1   13
Df Tivadar Lengyel        12    1   13     Df William Andersen       11    2   13
Df Jake Whyte              9    2   11     Mf Simon Fischer          17    2   19
Mf Leor Chadad            14    0   14     Mf Theo Cleverley         14    2   16
Mf Luis Guerrero          11    2   13     Fw Baron Marshall         14    2   16
Mf Finley Harris           8    0    8     Fw Blair Docherty         13    2   15
Mf Ryan Clemence          14    0   14     Fw Arthur Whelan          14    2   16
Fw Gerry Ruddle            8   -1    7     Fw Ben Byrne               9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 51 49  7        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 40 35 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 51 51 17         T O T A L S       17 15 40 35 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.69 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.72 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.43 (no second yellow)

Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.46 (no red card)

Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.95 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.87 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.05 (no red card)

Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card)

Mf Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.46 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.2 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.6 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.64 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.16 (no red card)

Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.81 (no red card)

Df William Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.74 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.5 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.53 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.6 (no red card)

Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.28 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.94 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.73 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.06 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no injury) 
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.5 (no injury) 
Df Tivadar Lengyel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.65 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.1 (no injury) 
Mf Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.9 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.38 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.95 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.98 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.7 (no injury) 
Df William Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.89 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.94 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.08 (no injury) 
Fw Blair Docherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.31 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Whelan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.48 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Rodriguez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 15

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 15

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             17  15  51  51  17
  FC United of Manchester  17  15  40  35  58

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 40)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((51 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17  15  40  35  58
  Chasetown FC             17  15  51  51  17

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 7 (58 - 51); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 8 ((40 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df William Andersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Bailey Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Blair Docherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Arthur Whelan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHASETOWN FC 2  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
 
Match Notes
Preview tells us it’s been 18 seasons since we beat Paul on the road. What’s one more at this point?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/01 - 12:40 AM
Can we worry the divisional leaders at all?
Paul (Chasetown FC) 07/04 - 10:54 AM
That was much more than just a worrying, Paul!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/09 - 3:34 PM
It was unexpected and very lucky!
Paul (Chasetown FC) 07/09 - 5:16 PM
 
 
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