(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MARINE FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Joe Cameron 6 1 7 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 0 12
Df Jose Antonio Romero 11 0 11 Df Delling Andersen 9 0 9
Df Finlay Cooke 7 0 7 Df Mathias Garreau 8 2 10
Df Andy Simpson 6 2 8 Df Felipe Cardoso 7 0 7
Df Niall Dunn 4 2 6 Mf William Pedersen 12 0 12
Mf Andrea Marino 9 0 9 Mf Samuel Tissier 10 0 10
Mf Glenn Ellis 7 0 7 Mf Luca Cole 8 0 8
Mf Bailey Hills 7 0 7 Fw Tom Stevenson 17 2 19
Fw Cliff Ruddle 12 0 12 Fw Andrew Williamson 13 2 15
Fw Cristobal Saez 10 0 10 Fw Peter East 11 0 11
Fw Joel Sansom 6 2 8 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 10 0 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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7 0 32 23 30 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 26 30 55
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
7 0 35 26 33 T O T A L S 12 0 26 30 55
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.12 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.2 (no red card)
Df Jose Antonio Romero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.48 (no red card)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.39 (no red card)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.31 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.46 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.74 (no red card)
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.31 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.45 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.65 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.15 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.35 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no red card)
Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.67 (no red card)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.78 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.72 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.09 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.94 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.58 (no injury)
Df Jose Antonio Romero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.46 (no injury)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.31 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury)
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.6 (no injury)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.73 (no injury)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.8 (no injury)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no injury)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.6 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.55 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.91 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.63 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.37 (no injury)
Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.45 (no injury)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.64 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.09 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.07 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.6 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.92 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cliff Ruddle SL 12
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12
intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 17
- Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 6
intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 7 0 35 26 33
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 26 30 55
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (33 - 26); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 26 30 55
Marine FC 7 0 35 26 33
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 20 (55 - 35); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 33) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 4.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Samuel Tissier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 7.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 42.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 35.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 50.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 54.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 99.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 21.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 72.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 89.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 51.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 81.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MARINE FC 2 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 5
Match Notes
away game so tricky
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/20 - 9:47 PM
not as tricky as i feared
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/27 - 1:29 PM
hitting 5 a great return
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/27 - 1:29 PM
superb
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/06 - 8:48 PM