(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLTON TOWN FC AFC FYLDE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Thiago Alves 14 2 16 Gk James MacLeod 8 2 10 Sw çngel Gabriel López 9 2 11 Sw Rhys Porter 16 0 16 Df Marcelo Fernandez 15 0 15 Df Ryan Lasserre 13 1 14 Df Oscar Brennan 11 1 12 Df Jeff Hughes 8 -2 6 Df Christopher Macbeth 9 2 11 Df Matheo Seguin 4 2 6 Mf Vegard Haugland 14 -1 13 Mf James Gallaher 14 1 15 Mf Ollie Ince 12 2 14 Mf Wes Lambert 9 2 11 Mf Thomas Mason 10 2 12 Mf Euan Barclay 4 2 6 Fw Alfred Forsberg 14 1 15 Fw Ellis Boddington 14 1 15 Fw George Shaw 12 -2 10 Fw Rodrigo Carvalho 9 0 9 Fw Tommaso Villa 12 2 14 Fw Max Daly 4 2 6 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 11 38 39 39 ROSTER TOTALS 10 16 26 32 30 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 11 45 41 49 T O T A L S 10 16 26 32 30 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.63 (no red card) Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.63 (no red card) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.86 (no red card) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card) Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.64 (no red card) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.75 (no red card) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card) Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.46 (no red card) Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.9 (no red card) ******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.56 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.45 (no red card) Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.46 (no second yellow) Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.54 (no red card) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.3 (no red card) Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.29 (no red card) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.05 (no red card) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.95 (no red card) Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.44 (no red card) Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.08 (no red card) Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.43 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.5 (no injury) Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.27 (no injury) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.84 (no injury) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.64 (no injury) Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.71 (no injury) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no injury) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.78 (no injury) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.22 (no injury) Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no injury) Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.71 (no injury) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury) Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.7 (no injury) Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.31 (no injury) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no injury) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.69 (no injury) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.76 (no injury) Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.5 (no injury) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no injury) Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.28 (no injury) Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 15 - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 8 intRndPk = 1 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 82 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: James Gallaher SL 14 - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 14 intRndPk = 91 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 16 11 45 41 49 AFC Fylde 10 16 26 32 30 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 23 (49 - 26); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((41 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((45 - 30) / 3); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 33 1: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 78.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Christopher Macbeth Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 78.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Fylde 10 16 26 32 30 Carlton Town FC 16 11 45 41 49 AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 45) AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 41) / 2; rounded up) AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 49) / 3; rounded up) AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLTON TOWN FC 5 - AFC FYLDE 0