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Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

EVESHAM UNITED FC                          FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Geoffrey Bateman       13    0   13     Gk Maximilian Isaksson    15    2   17
Sw Ollie Russell          16    0   16     Df Delling Andersen       10    0   10
Df Francisco Duarte       16    0   16     Df Ellis Fisher           10    0   10
Df Lorenzo Ibañez         12    1   13     Df Graham Sansom           9    0    9
Df Paul Werner             9    2   11     Mf Luca Cole              11    0   11
Df James Fergusen          9    1   10     Mf Daniel James           10    0   10
Mf Glenn Stevens           9    2   11     Mf William Pedersen        8    2   10
Mf Lucas Maes              4    2    6     Fw Alf Abrahamsen         14    0   14
Fw Albert Francis         16    0   16     Fw Andrew Williamson      11    0   11
Fw Allan Burns            14    0   14     Fw Tom Stevenson          11    0   11
Fw Gregg Foster            8    2   10     Fw Claudio Gentile         7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 50 17 40        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 29 31 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 50 17 49         T O T A L S       17  0 29 31 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.79 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.19 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.74 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.14 (no second yellow)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.17 (no red card)

Df James Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.6 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Maes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.59 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.96 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.92 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.92 (no red card)

Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.01 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.01 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.38 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Graham Sansom new match skill level =  5
      Graham Sansom new match total level =  5

Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.05 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.2 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.58 (no red card)

Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.35 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.81 (no red card)

Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.38 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.17 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.38 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.82 (no injury) 
Df James Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.41 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.22 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Maes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.85 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.94 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.53 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.6 (no injury) 
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.6 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.65 (no injury) 
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.28 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.07 (no injury) 
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.24 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Tom Stevenson loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tom Stevenson new match skill level =  6
      Tom Stevenson new match total level =  6
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francisco Duarte SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 15

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Geoffrey Bateman SL 13

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        13  16  50  17  49
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  25  31  38

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 24 (49 - 25); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((50 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 32.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 41.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  25  31  38
  Evesham United FC        13  16  50  17  49

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 50)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((31 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Daniel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Daniel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
EVESHAM UNITED FC 2  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
 
Match Notes
Need another one here
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/03 - 11:47 AM
i fear the worst
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:46 PM
i will give it a good go ofcourse
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:46 PM
got out early
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/10 - 8:22 AM
Big Win
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/10 - 8:22 AM
i did fear the worst
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 8:35 PM
that was a very low MF area - but it worked
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 8:36 PM
 
 
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