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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15     Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18
Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13     Sw Declan Wilson          16    2   18
Df Jason Weber            11    0   11     Df Liam Conner            14    2   16
Df Jeff Charlton           8    2   10     Df Leo McNeill             9    2   11
Mf Giles Walsh            13    0   13     Df Tommaso Mazza          13    2   15
Mf Gast?n Franco          13    0   13     Mf Kenzie Munro            8    2   10
Mf Liam Dixon              4    2    6     Mf Cliff Cooper            4    2    6
Fw Santiago Rubio         13    2   15     Fw Leon Fischer           13    2   15
Fw Alfred Forsberg        15    0   15     Fw Moritz Schultze        10    2   12
Fw Taylor Cockayne        11    0   11     Fw Dennis Honeybun        10    2   12
Fw Rhys McColl             9    2   11     Fw Cole Hamilton           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 34 32 52        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 42 16 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 39 32 59         T O T A L S       21 18 42 17 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.93 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.03 (no red card)

Df Jason Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.51 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.17 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.89 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.19 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.18 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.92 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.65 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.82 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.31 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.14 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.58 (no red card)

Df Tommaso Mazza: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.76 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.54 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.18 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.35 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.96 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.25 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 45.64 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.88 (no injury) 
Df Jason Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.83 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.37 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.55 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.55 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.31 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.78 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.51 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.17 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 72.92 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.49 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.54 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.17 (no injury) 
Df Tommaso Mazza: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.82 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.73 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.37 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.94 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfred Forsberg SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Conner SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  39  32  59
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  18  42  17  50

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (59 - 42); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((32 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 3.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 99.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  18  42  17  50
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  39  32  59

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (50 - 39); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Moritz Schultze
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Dennis Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 2  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 2
 
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