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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           15    0   15     Gk Christopher Clyne      15    2   17
Sw Jamie Johnson           9    2   11     Sw Christian Murray        9    2   11
Df Robin Ostrander        13    2   15     Df Guillaume Chauvin      14    2   16
Df Fabian Schulz          16    1   17     Df Calum Morrison         14    2   16
Df Louis Turner            7    2    9     Df Michael Thompson        8    2   10
Mf Harrison McBrayne      11    2   13     Df Lukas Mas               8    2   10
Mf Knut Strøm             11    1   12     Mf Eoghan Thompson         9    2   11
Fw Nils Schneider         14    1   15     Mf James Thompson          4    2    6
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    1   14     Mf Oliver Chaffersey       4    2    6
Fw Jamie Carroll           8    2   10     Fw Jamie Hunt             13    2   15
Fw Facundo Bruno           8    2   10     Fw Francis Richards        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 41 25 49        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 52 23 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  2  0  5  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 41 25 58         T O T A L S       17 13 52 28 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.49 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.28 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.6 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.79 (no red card)

Df Louis Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.65 (no red card)

Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.8 (no red card)

Mf Knut Strøm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.88 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.51 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.82 (no second yellow)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.86 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.79 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.13 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.29 (no red card)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.82 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.12 (no red card)

Df Lukas Mas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.22 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.11 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.66 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.14 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.9 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.08 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.5 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.75 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.58 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no injury) 
Df Louis Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.02 (no injury) 
Mf Knut Strøm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.57 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.91 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Kerecsen Deák is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kerecsen Deák new match skill level =  7
      Kerecsen Deák new match total level =  8
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jamie Carroll is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jamie Carroll new match skill level =  4
      Jamie Carroll new match total level =  6
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.82 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.3 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.33 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.46 (no injury) 
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.12 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.77 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Mas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.64 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.68 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.91 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Francis Richards is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Christopher Clyne SL 15

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Guillaume Chauvin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 15

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            15  11  41  25  48
  Clevedon Town FC         17  13  52  28  21

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 52)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 7 ((41 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Fabian Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         17  13  52  28  21
  Luton Town FC            15  11  41  25  48

Clevedon Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 41)
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((52 - 48) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Eoghan Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 1  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Only (wounded) pride to play for here for LUT.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/29 - 8:09 PM
That's when you might be the most dangerous...
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 07/05 - 11:01 PM
 
 
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