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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:58 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            13    1   14     Gk Matty Moore            15    1   16
Sw Sean Carroll           10    1   11     Df Aarron Lowe            11    2   13
Df Mathias Sørensen       13    1   14     Df Oscar Evans            13    1   14
Df Luke Crowley           10    0   10     Df Alejandro García       10    0   10
Df Steve Gordon            6    2    8     Mf Manuel Iglesias        13    0   13
Mf Fernando Rocha         13    1   14     Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald      16    1   17
Mf Sean Long              11    1   12     Mf Baron Fisher           10    1   11
Mf Joe Barrett            14    0   14     Mf Nigel Howells          10    2   12
Mf Jordi Navarro           6    2    8     Mf Kenny Fitzgerald        6    2    8
Fw Matais Juarez          13    1   14     Fw Carrington Bates       13    1   14
Fw Daniel Barbosa          6    2    8     Fw Harry Pastor           13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 11 32 48 22        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 37 61 28    
       0  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 32 48 31         T O T A L S       17  0 37 61 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.33 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.45 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.15 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.95 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.68 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.31 (no red card)

Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.46 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.42 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.68 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.1 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.82 (no second yellow)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 26.32 (no red card)

Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.11 (no red card)

Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card)

Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.87 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.49 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.58 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.45 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.68 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.21 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.86 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 17.63 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.45 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 29.64 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 39.19 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.51 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 6.34 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 3.61 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Matais Juarez is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Matais Juarez new match skill level =  7
      Matais Juarez new match total level =  8
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 59.81 (no injury) 
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.24 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 40.31 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 7.38 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 30.86 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 3.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Harry Pastor is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Harry Pastor new match skill level =  7
      Harry Pastor new match total level =  8
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tyrone Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         14  13  32  48  25
  AFC Wimbledon            17   0  37  61  22

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 37)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((48 - 61) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            17   0  37  61  22
  Tonbridge Angels         14  13  32  48  25

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 32)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 7 ((61 - 48) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Aarron Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Alejandro García
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Aarron Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Baron Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
 
Match Notes
The Champions come to visit, who started with three victories. Can we upset them?
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/11 - 7:44 PM
A big win for us. If we want to stay up, we need to pick up points at home.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/18 - 5:53 PM
Little hard done here…but that’s Olmec for you
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 01/18 - 8:09 PM
 
 
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