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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             9    2   11     Gk Reece Wilkinson         8    2   10
Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15     Sw Noah Smalls            14    2   16
Df Sean Callahan          14    2   16     Df Florian König          13    2   15
Df Earl Kelly             13    2   15     Df Graham Pike             8    1    9
Df Reece Cooper           12    2   14     Df Quentin Lesage          8    2   10
Df Trevor Cockham         10    2   12     Mf Baron Palmer           13    2   15
Mf Joe Barrett            15    2   17     Mf Gunnar Vik              8    0    8
Mf Reuben Byrne           13    2   15     Fw Jacob Coppell          14    2   16
Fw Matais Juarez          15    2   17     Fw Sebastian Colombo      13    0   13
Fw Liam Thwaite           13    2   15     Fw Billy Moore            13    2   15
Fw Paul Millot            10    2   12     Fw Giorgio Sanna           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 57 32 44        ROSTER TOTALS      10 16 34 23 54    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 15 57 37 48         T O T A L S       13 16 34 23 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 3.6 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.24 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.34 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.1 (no red card)

Df Reece Cooper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.93 (no red card)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.5 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.22 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.71 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.23 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.55 (no second yellow)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.97 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.98 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.15 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.53 (no red card)

Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.65 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.45 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.45 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.08 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.5 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.55 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.1 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 89.59 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.7 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.19 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.86 (no injury) 
Df Reece Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.75 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.71 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.5 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.0 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.31 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.48 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Paul Millot is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Paul Millot new match skill level =  5
      Paul Millot new match total level =  7

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury) 
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.9 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.66 (no injury) 
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.16 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Graham Pike is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Graham Pike new match skill level =  4
      Graham Pike new match total level =  5
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.21 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.29 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.59 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.85 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.75 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 8

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jacob Coppell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13  15  57  37  43
  Boston United            13  16  30  23  54

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 13 (43 - 30); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((57 - 54) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 74.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            13  16  30  23  54
  Tonbridge Angels         13  15  57  37  43

Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 57)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3  -  BOSTON UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Both teams on the same points near the bottom of the table. A big match.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:41 AM
This is a HUGE match to try to get out of the basement.
Rob (Boston United) 02/22 - 5:35 PM
Wow, Tonbridge totally overpowered us. Well done Andy!
Rob (Boston United) 02/24 - 6:09 PM
Thanks Rob. Three points we definitely need to stay up.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/27 - 3:32 PM
 
 
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