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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19     Gk Wim Cryuff             15    2   17
Sw Aarron Lowe            16    2   18     Sw Harrison Johnson       16    2   18
Df Riley O'Brien          11    2   13     Df Shay  Carr             13    2   15
Df Louis Butler           13    2   15     Df Liam Byrne             13    2   15
Df Kian Doyle              9    2   11     Df Julian Richter         11    2   13
Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16     Df Linus Sjögren           9    2   11
Mf Oliver Johnstone       10    1   11     Mf Sofiane Fernandez      13    2   15
Fw Marty Allen            14    1   15     Mf Wayne Hunt              9    2   11
Fw Reuben Thomas          14    2   16     Mf Lior Tal                4    2    6
Fw Bradley McCarthy       13    2   15     Fw Ben Frings              9    2   11
Fw Isaac Howells          12    1   13     Fw Markus Laursen          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 18 39 27 59        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 54 32 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 18 39 27 68         T O T A L S       17 21 58 32 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 51.76 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.86 (no red card)

Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.88 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.02 (no red card)

Df Kian Doyle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.83 (no second yellow)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.75 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.41 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.73 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.17 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.08 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.07 (no red card)

Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.3 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.1 (no red card)

Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.01 (no red card)

Df Julian Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.35 (no red card)

Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card)

Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.69 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.52 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) 
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.47 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.19 (no injury) 
Df Kian Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.85 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.18 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.68 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.32 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.54 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.01 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 34.21 (no injury) 
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.08 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.9 (no injury) 
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.53 (no injury) 
Df Julian Richter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury) 
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.47 (no injury) 
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.14 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.77 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.14 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 15

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shay  Carr SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20  18  39  27  68
  Burton Albion FC         17  21  58  32  17

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 10 (68 - 58); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 8 ((39 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Louis Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Kian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Louis Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Riley O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         17  21  58  32  17
  AFC Wimbledon            20  18  39  27  68

Burton Albion FC is Playing For A Draw!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 39)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Sofiane Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 1  -  BURTON ALBION FC 1
 
Match Notes
Missing a couple key players, this will be tough
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/06 - 12:43 PM
Getting real old giving up PKs playing 1 hard
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/06 - 7:30 PM
 
 
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