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Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CLEVEDON TOWN FC                           HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Christopher Clyne      16    1   17     Gk Florian De Vos         16    2   18
Sw Christian Murray       15    2   17     Df Ben Lawrence           12   -1   11
Df Michael Thompson       12    2   14     Df Vegar Aas               4    2    6
Df Calum Morrison         11    1   12     Mf Michael Möller         11    2   13
Df Billy Smith             8    2   10     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    2   12
Mf Ethan Duckworth        13    1   14     Mf Benjamin Healy          9    2   11
Mf James Thompson          8    2   10     Mf Lewis Smith             6    2    8
Mf Oliver Chaffersey       8    2   10     Mf Gregor Millar           4    2    6
Fw Juan Martin            16    2   18     Fw Cooper Smith           13   -1   12
Fw Jamie Hunt             16    2   18     Fw Hans Fischer            7    1    8
Fw Francis Richards        9    2   11     Fw Justin Neumann          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 36 34 47        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 17 50 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  7  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 36 34 56         T O T A L S       21  0 24 50 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.8 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.07 (no red card)

Df Billy Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.17 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.71 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.13 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.26 (no red card)

Fw Juan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.6 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.59 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.72 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 49.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 19.68 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 25.08 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 1.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 70.8 (no second yellow)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 0.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 22.83 (no second yellow)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 16.9 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 13.25 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 43.99 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 77.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 24.67 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 81.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 51.34 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 61.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 80.82 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 42.82 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 88.59 (no injury) 
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 71.21 (no injury) 
Df Billy Smith: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 89.03 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 35.21 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 86.59 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Martin: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 99.66 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 58.53 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 69.87 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 48.45 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 2.6 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Vegar Aas is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.32 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 45.57 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 46.15 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 17.75 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 68.06 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.98 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.71 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 68.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Juan Martin SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cooper Smith SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Christopher Clyne SL 16

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         17  17  36  34  56
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21   0  24  50  26

Harrogate Railway AFC is using Offside Trap!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (56 - 24) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Calum Morrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 18.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Billy Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 37.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Billy Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Billy Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 2.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 27.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Francis Richards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 73.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 8.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Francis Richards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 56.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 76.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 3.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21   0  24  50  26
  Clevedon Town FC         17  17  36  34  56

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 36)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((50 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 56) / 5;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Lewis Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Michael Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Al the underdog here?
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/18 - 5:57 AM
We are always the underdog! Good match Bryce!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/23 - 7:35 PM
Don't think I've ever faced the full 10 hardness before. Of course we didn't get a PK from it but we did also somehow escape from this brawl without injury so there's some luck in both directions.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 02/26 - 6:29 PM
 
 
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