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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Gordon Wilkins         16    1   17
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18     Sw Luís Morais            14    1   15
Df Louie Ince             16    2   18     Df Lucas Soramaki         14    0   14
Df Luca Herrmann          16    1   17     Df Charles Clarke         13    0   13
Fw Leon Baumann           15    2   17     Df Simon Charlton         11    1   12
Mf Eoghan Carroll         17    2   19     Df Markus Jacobsen         9    2   11
Mf Josè Guerrero          10    2   12     Mf Ashton Ali             13    0   13
Fw Greg Scott             15    2   17     Mf Gerry Shilton          12    1   13
Fw Gordon Andrews         11    2   13     Mf Niklas König            8    2   10
Fw Samuel Rose             9    2   11     Fw Giorgio Grasso         14    1   15
Fw Nils Pettersson         9    2   11     Fw William Hay             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 35 31 69        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 50 36 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 35 31 78         T O T A L S       20 15 50 36 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.32 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.3 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.86 (no red card)

Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.78 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.38 (no red card)

Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.75 (no second yellow)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.55 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.62 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.89 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 44.62 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.09 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.67 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.85 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.14 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.6 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.71 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.04 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.62 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.94 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.54 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.8 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.12 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.22 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Eoghan Carroll is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Eoghan Carroll new match skill level =  9
      Eoghan Carroll new match total level =  11
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.85 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.73 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.42 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.57 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.38 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.95 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.95 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.35 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.16 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.47 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.29 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.84 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lucas Soramaki SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  18  35  23  78
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  15  50  36  25

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 28 (78 - 50); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 80.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 20.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 80.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  15  50  36  25
  Welling United FC        18  18  35  23  78

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 35)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 7 ((36 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 78) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
Lambs to the slaughter here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/29 - 9:50 PM
All’s WEL that ends WEL…
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/06 - 1:22 AM
Oh WEL ...
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/12 - 7:49 PM
this didn't end too WEL
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/12 - 7:49 PM
 
 
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