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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17     Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17
Sw Fortunato  Torres      13    2   15     Df Tom Cole               13    2   15
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df David Beerman          11    2   13
Mf Ben Lawrence           11    2   13     Df Sebastian Parra        15    1   16
Df Trevor Harewood         8    2   10     Df Joshua Smith            8    2   10
Df Gabriel Williams        4    2    6     Df Ethan Shaw              8    2   10
Mf Michael Möller          9    2   11     Df Barry Lane              4    2    6
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15     Mf Ethan Marsh             9    2   11
Fw Cooper Smith           12    2   14     Mf Billy Garcia            7    2    9
Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16     Fw Reece Fortune-West      8    2   10
Fw William Torres          9   -2    7     Fw Brandon Booth           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 32 24 52        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 70 20 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 32 24 61         T O T A L S       17  0 70 27 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.91 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.94 (no red card)

Mf Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.86 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.48 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.22 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.37 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.1 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.87 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.38 (no red card)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.05 (no red card)

Df Tom Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.99 (no red card)

Df David Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.33 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)

Df Joshua Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.72 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.94 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.96 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.87 (no red card)

Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.1 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.11 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 11.83 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.12 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.7 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.07 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.74 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.86 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.1 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.0 (no injury) 
Df Tom Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.36 (no injury) 
Df David Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.22 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Parra: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.49 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.24 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.97 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.99 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Parra SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  15  32  24  61
  York City FC             17   0  70  27  18

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (61 - 70)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((32 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for York City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             17   0  70  27  18
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  15  32  24  61

York City FC is Playing For A Draw!
York City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 32)
York City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
York City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((70 - 61) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
York City FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Sebastian Parra
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ethan Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1  -  YORK CITY FC 0
 
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