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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          16    2   18     Gk Mason Butcher           9    2   11
Sw Benjamin White         13    1   14     Df Murray Taylor          14   -1   13
Df Matheo Seguin          16    0   16     Df Jeff Charlton          12    0   12
Df Jeff Hughes            13    0   13     Df Francis Martin          8    1    9
Df Simon Bellec           16    0   16     Mf Liam Dixon             12   -2   10
Mf Euan Barclay           16    0   16     Mf Gast?n Franco          11    0   11
Mf Angel Vazquez          11    2   13     Mf Giles Walsh            10    2   12
Mf Trevor King             8    2   10     Fw Sveinur Hansen         13    1   14
Fw William Peverell       13    1   14     Fw Rhys McColl            15    0   15
Fw Max Daly               13    0   13     Fw Santiago Rubio         11    2   13
Fw Ashley Ellis            8    2   10     Fw Trevor Hanny            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 45 39 37        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 34 33 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 45 39 46         T O T A L S       11  0 34 33 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.42 (no red card)

Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.55 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.83 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.16 (no red card)

Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.11 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.3 (no red card)

Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.64 (no red card)

Mf Trevor King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.68 (no red card)

Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.28 (no second yellow)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.76 (no red card)

Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.13 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.53 (no red card)

Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.22 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.85 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.79 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.99 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.42 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.6 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.74 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.75 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.45 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.01 (no injury) 
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.69 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.94 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.26 (no injury) 
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.47 (no injury) 
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.95 (no injury) 
Mf Trevor King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.56 (no injury) 
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no injury) 
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.48 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.72 (no injury) 
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.67 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.47 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.45 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.1 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.39 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.68 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.38 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.28 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matheo Seguin SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 9

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rhys McColl SL 15
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 16

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                18  14  45  39  46
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  34  33  56

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 12 (46 - 34); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 3 ((39 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ashley Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ashley Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 96.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ashley Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 61.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Ashley Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  34  33  56
  AFC Fylde                18  14  45  39  46

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 11 (56 - 45); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 21.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 
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