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Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WORKSOP TOWN FC                            FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrew Ryan            10    1   11     Gk Maximilian Isaksson    15    2   17
Df Don Edwards            13    1   14     Df Mateo Hernández         6    2    8
Df Liam Åkesson           14    1   15     Df Theo Cole               6    1    7
Df Don Griffiths           9    0    9     Df Patrick Hopkins         6    2    8
Df Harley Watson           8    2   10     Df Mathias Garreau         4    2    6
Mf Kieran Lawrence        13    1   14     Df Felipe Cardoso          4    2    6
Mf Callum McGuire         12    1   13     Mf William Pedersen        7    2    9
Mf Luis Gonzalez          11    0   11     Mf Conor Farrell           6    2    8
Mf Laurence Sansom         7    2    9     Mf Juan Fernández          6    0    6
Fw Alexander Kilkenny     11    0   11     Fw Claudio Gentile         7    0    7
Fw Peder Laursen           7    2    9     Fw Andrew Young            6    0    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 48 47 20        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 35 23 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 51 50 23         T O T A L S       17  0 35 23 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.51 (no red card)

Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.79 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.77 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.78 (no red card)

Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.86 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.25 (no red card)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no red card)

Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.26 (no red card)

Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.54 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.73 (no red card)

Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.06 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.58 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.91 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no red card)

Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.59 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.33 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.36 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.7 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.84 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.31 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.38 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrew Ryan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.09 (no injury) 
Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.56 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.08 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.96 (no injury) 
Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.41 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.55 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.57 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Luis Gonzalez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Laurence Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no injury) 
Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.19 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.93 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Theo Cole loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Theo Cole new match skill level =  3
      Theo Cole new match total level =  4
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.33 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.22 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.51 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.7 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.7 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Åkesson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 15

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Pedersen SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Andrew Ryan SL 10

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  51  50  23
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  32  23  13

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 32)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((50 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 8 ((51 - 13) / 5); result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Don Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Don Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Don Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Harley Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Liam Åkesson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Liam Åkesson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Don Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Don Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Luis Gonzalez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Luis Gonzalez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Luis Gonzalez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Mf Laurence Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   17   0  32  23  13
  Worksop Town FC          11   0  51  50  23

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 51)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((32 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 91.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Patrick Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WORKSOP TOWN FC 3  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
 
Match Notes
Be gentle with us David Morgan!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/28 - 3:40 PM
Best of luck, Mark....
David (Worksop Town FC) 06/28 - 4:21 PM
well beaten
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:42 PM
could have been worse
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/04 - 9:42 PM
 
 
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