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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  CHASETOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          14    2   16     Gk Niklas Kaiser          15    0   15
Sw Rhys Porter            16   -1   15     Sw David Gardner          13    1   14
Df Ryan Lasserre          16   -1   15     Df Jake Whyte             14    2   16
Df Rayan Blanc            12    0   12     Df Carlos Rodriguez       14    0   14
Df Jeff Hughes            11    1   12     Fw Finley Harris          12    2   14
Df Matheo Seguin           8    2   10     Mf Leor Chadad            14    0   14
Mf James Gallaher         15   -1   14     Mf Alf Jenssen             8    2   10
Mf Edward Newman          12    0   12     Fw Gerry Ruddle           15    2   17
Mf Euan Barclay            8    2   10     Fw Scott Shaw             16    0   16
Fw Tom Duckworth          16   -1   15     Fw Charlie Sullivan       12    0   12
Fw Diego Testa            10    2   12     Fw Albert Ramos            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 49 36 27        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 30 24 69    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  3  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 58 36 27         T O T A L S       17 17 30 24 72    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.98 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.17 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.36 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.49 (no second yellow)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.58 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card)

Mf Edward Newman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.24 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.94 (no red card)

Fw Diego Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.48 (no red card)

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.73 (no red card)

Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.66 (no red card)

Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.37 (no red card)

Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.74 (no red card)

Fw Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.92 (no red card)

Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.29 (no red card)

Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.94 (no red card)

Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no second yellow)

Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.49 (no red card)

Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.53 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.16 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.25 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.41 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.26 (no injury) 
Mf Edward Newman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.14 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no injury) 
Fw Diego Testa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.25 (no injury) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no injury) 
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.14 (no injury) 
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.31 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no injury) 
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.39 (no injury) 
Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.52 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.67 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.71 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Lasserre SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 15

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 24 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Scott Shaw SL 16
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 14

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                16  15  58  36  27
  Chasetown FC             17  17  30  24  72

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 72) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             17  17  30  24  72
  AFC Fylde                16  15  58  36  27

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 14 (72 - 58); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Jake Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Finley Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 21.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Charlie Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Scott Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 1  -  CHASETOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
A win would be nice but Phil may have other ideas I suppose...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/11 - 2:08 PM
A bit unfortunate not to win this one
Paul (Chasetown FC) 02/15 - 7:17 PM
 
 
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