(H)

Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner

Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ILKESTON TOWN FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård 16 2 18 Gk Erik Holm 13 1 14
Sw Leo McNeill 14 2 16 Sw Fortunato Torres 7 2 9
Df Florian Schmid 13 2 15 Df Freddy Arboleda 14 2 16
Df Callum Henderson 12 2 14 Df Gabriel Williams 13 2 15
Df Liam Conner 10 2 12 Df Trevor Harewood 8 2 10
Mf Cliff Cooper 10 2 12 Mf Benjamin Healy 13 2 15
Mf Padraig Conley 9 2 11 Mf Andy Watson 11 2 13
Fw Cole Hamilton 16 2 18 Fw Justin Neumann 15 2 17
Fw Marcos Nuñez 12 2 14 Fw Conor Thompson 13 2 15
Fw Alex Murphy 12 2 14 Fw William Torres 9 1 10
Fw André Souza 15 2 17 Fw Leonardo Delgado 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 16 41 23 63 ROSTER TOTALS 14 9 41 28 52
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 16 41 24 71 T O T A L S 14 9 41 28 52
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.56 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.1 (no red card)
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.78 (no red card)
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.41 (no red card)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.56 (no red card)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.34 (no red card)
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.91 (no red card)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.01 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.01 (no red card)
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.94 (no red card)
Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.45 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.09 (no second yellow)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.05 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.87 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.82 (no red card)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.39 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.73 (no red card)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.49 (no second yellow)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.61 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.96 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury)
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury)
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.12 (no injury)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no injury)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.32 (no injury)
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.93 (no injury)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.36 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no injury)
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.51 (no injury)
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.27 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.78 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.7 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.04 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.3 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no injury)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.45 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.26 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.16 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.11 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.74 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cole Hamilton SL 16
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 13
intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Justin Neumann SL 15
- Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16
intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 18 16 41 24 71
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 41 28 52
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 30 (71 - 41); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 72.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
24: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
30: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 41 28 52
Ilkeston Town FC 18 16 41 24 71
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (52 - 41); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 71) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Andy Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2
Match Notes
Match of the week?
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/14 - 9:08 PM

Looks like a lot more 3rd division football for our Beavers! Nicely done Steve!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/21 - 7:06 PM
That was a horrible 75 minutes. Harrogate will go up despite this result.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/21 - 8:10 PM