(H)
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MOSSLEY AFC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Carlton Fortune-West 12 2 14 Gk Namir Cohen 8 1 9
Sw Jake James 11 1 12 Df Zadok Chazan 7 2 9
Df Erik Meyer 12 2 14 Df Graham Ward 6 2 8
Df Sying Yáng 9 2 11 Df Paul Lange 6 2 8
Df Billy Slater 4 2 6 Df Kyle Harris 6 2 8
Mf Sam Bate 12 2 14 Mf Martin Kristensen 14 1 15
Mf Thomas Constant 12 1 13 Mf Luke Terry 7 2 9
Mf Giorgio Testa 6 2 8 Mf Nick Weiss 7 2 9
Mf Leo Lee 2 2 4 Fw Gabriel Whiteside 14 2 16
Fw Luca Bell 13 0 13 Fw Moritz Hofmann 12 1 13
Fw Sam Lewis 8 0 8 Fw Tom Stevenson 11 0 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 12 31 39 21 ROSTER TOTALS 9 0 33 33 40
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 7
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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14 12 31 42 30 T O T A L S 9 0 33 33 47
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.15 (no red card)
Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.94 (no red card)
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.41 (no red card)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.98 (no red card)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.8 (no red card)
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.85 (no red card)
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.98 (no red card)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.06 (no red card)
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.62 (no red card)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.04 (no red card)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.93 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.33 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.85 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.5 (no red card)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.1 (no red card)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.37 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.64 (no red card)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.61 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.49 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.55 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.75 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.91 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury)
Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no injury)
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no injury)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.64 (no injury)
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.42 (no injury)
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.22 (no injury)
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.97 (no injury)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.11 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.22 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.7 (no injury)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.9 (no injury)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.07 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.73 (no injury)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.06 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.9 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.48 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luca Bell SL 13
- Defending Gk: Namir Cohen SL 8
intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Kristensen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 12
intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Mossley AFC 14 12 31 42 30
Forest Green Rovers FC 9 0 33 33 47
Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 33)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((42 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 66.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Leo Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 9 0 33 33 47
Mossley AFC 14 12 31 42 30
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 16 (47 - 31); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Df Paul Lange
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
MOSSLEY AFC 1 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2
Match Notes
Home advantage is a big factor for Mike methinks
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/15 - 7:20 PM
That is a robbery, right there
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/25 - 8:26 PM
2 wins in a row!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/04 - 9:27 AM