(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S MARINE FC CARLTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Francis Lloyd 7 0 7 Gk Thiago Alves 14 2 16 Df Finlay Cooke 8 0 8 Sw çngel Gabriel López 8 2 10 Df Tyler Reynolds 7 0 7 Df Marcelo Fernandez 14 0 14 Df Harrison Rowbotham 6 -1 5 Df Oscar Brennan 11 1 12 Df Ryan Richardson 3 2 5 Df Christopher Macbeth 8 2 10 Mf Bailey Hills 9 0 9 Mf Vegard Haugland 13 0 13 Mf Giles Hanny 7 0 7 Mf Ollie Ince 12 2 14 Mf Adi Peretz 3 2 5 Mf Thomas Mason 10 2 12 Fw Reuben Dowson 9 0 9 Fw Alfred Forsberg 14 1 15 Fw Cristobal Saez 9 -1 8 Fw Taylor Cockayne 12 1 13 Fw Tony Murray 7 0 7 Fw George Shaw 12 2 14 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 0 25 21 24 ROSTER TOTALS 16 10 36 39 42 0 0 3 3 3 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 7 0 30 26 30 T O T A L S 16 10 36 39 42 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 9 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.64 (no red card) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 8.91 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 8.95 (no second yellow) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 44.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 87.84 (no red card) Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 18.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 73.32 (no red card) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 83.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 14.97 (no red card) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 10.95 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 81.63 (no second yellow) Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 0.46 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 82.82 (no second yellow) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 15.69 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no second yellow) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 73.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 27.0 (no red card) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 27.62 (no red card) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.83 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.19 (no red card) Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.72 (no red card) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.69 (no red card) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.14 (no red card) Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.05 (no red card) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.47 (no red card) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.74 (no red card) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.34 (no red card) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.46 (no red card) Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.61 (no red card) Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.55 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 9 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 61.81 (no injury) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.13 (no injury) Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.48 (no injury) Df Harrison Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 0.78 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Harrison Rowbotham is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Harrison Rowbotham new match skill level = 3 Harrison Rowbotham new match total level = 2 Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 54.95 (no injury) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.98 (no injury) Mf Giles Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.35 (no injury) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no injury) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 85.73 (no injury) Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.22 (no injury) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 9 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25% - Gk chance of injury = 4.62% Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 69.82 (no injury) Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 68.31 (no injury) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 99.39 (no injury) Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 67.08 (no injury) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 48.56 (no injury) Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) Mf Thomas Mason: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 37.49 (no injury) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 78.13 (no injury) Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 4.81 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Taylor Cockayne is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Taylor Cockayne new match skill level = 6 Taylor Cockayne new match total level = 7 Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 7.33 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 George Shaw is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) George Shaw new match skill level = 6 George Shaw new match total level = 8 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Bailey Hills SL 9 - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 14 intRndPk = 72 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 9; (9 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 14 - Defending Gk: Francis Lloyd SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 89 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 7 0 27 26 30 Carlton Town FC 16 10 36 39 30 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 36) Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 5; rounded up) Marine FC Total Attacks = 0 ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 16 10 36 39 30 Marine FC 7 0 27 26 30 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (30 - 27); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((39 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 30) / 3); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 60.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Thomas Mason Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Thomas Mason Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Thomas Mason Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 10.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw George Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E MARINE FC 0 - CARLTON TOWN FC 3