(H)
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BEDFORD TOWN FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Guillaume Hebert 13 2 15 Gk Leon Farrell 8 2 10
Sw Ian Moore 14 2 16 Df Finlay Butcher 12 2 14
Df Max Hermansson 14 2 16 Df Corey Mills 10 2 12
Df Lok Guo 13 2 15 Df Steven Williams 8 2 10
Df Ben Collins 8 1 9 Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18
Mf Harvey Allen 17 2 19 Mf Kian Sansom 11 2 13
Mf Marco Tenhoor 12 1 13 Mf Jonathan Håkansson 11 2 13
Mf Carlton Bishop 8 2 10 Mf Haakon Ødegård 8 2 10
Fw Zak Bell 13 2 15 Fw Harley Dowson 13 2 15
Fw Gerry Walker 8 2 10 Fw Ben Byrne 13 2 15
Fw Niklas Möller 4 2 6 Fw Baron Marshall 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 16 40 42 31 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 36 54 46
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 16 40 42 40 T O T A L S 10 0 36 54 46
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.56 (no red card)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.32 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.73 (no second yellow)
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.91 (no red card)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.44 (no red card)
Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.46 (no red card)
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.16 (no red card)
Mf Marco Tenhoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.14 (no red card)
Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.73 (no red card)
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.49 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.86 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.72 (no red card)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card)
Df Corey Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.6 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.26 (no red card)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.28 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.15 (no red card)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.53 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.49 (no red card)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.7 (no red card)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.06 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Baron Marshall new match skill level = 7
Baron Marshall new match total level = 9
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no injury)
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no injury)
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.27 (no injury)
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.04 (no injury)
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.23 (no injury)
Mf Marco Tenhoor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.88 (no injury)
Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.75 (no injury)
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.3 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.19 (no injury)
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.83 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.34 (no injury)
Df Corey Mills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.41 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.77 (no injury)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.86 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Håkansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.95 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.18 (no injury)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.36 (no injury)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.89 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17
- Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 8
intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cristobal Benitez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 13
intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 15 16 40 42 40
FC United of Manchester 10 0 36 54 39
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (40 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 54) / 2; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Ben Collins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 10 0 36 54 39
Bedford Town FC 15 16 40 42 40
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 40)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 6 ((54 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 40) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Jonathan Håkansson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Jonathan Håkansson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
Match Notes
Never bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/21 - 7:13 AM
Kevin such a great strategist we never have a chance
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/22 - 12:05 PM
Compton feeling sad 😔
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/22 - 12:05 PM
As I said though just a genius 😉
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/22 - 12:06 PM
Not sure about the genius part, yet we’ll take the compliment!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/23 - 2:08 PM
We scored on our sole shot on goal, so Simon was unlucky here. A draw was the most likely outcome
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/23 - 2:09 PM