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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15     Gk Gordon Wilkins         15    1   16
Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13     Sw Luís Morais            15    0   15
Df Jason Weber            11    0   11     Df Markus Jacobsen        13    2   15
Df Jeff Charlton           7    2    9     Df Lucas Soramaki         13    0   13
Df Chris Howard            4   -1    3     Df Robert Howells         11    1   12
Mf Giles Walsh            13    0   13     Mf Niklas König           13    2   15
Mf Gast?n Franco          13    0   13     Mf Gerry Shilton          10    2   12
Mf Federico Gentile        8    1    9     Mf Ashton Ali             10    2   12
Mf Liam Dixon              4    2    6     Fw William Hay            14    2   16
Fw Alfred Forsberg        15    0   15     Fw Mark Solomon           13    0   13
Fw Rhys McColl             8    2   10     Fw Giorgio Grasso         15    0   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 36 41 25        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 40 39 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 39 45 25         T O T A L S       17 15 40 39 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.11 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.35 (no second yellow)

Df Jason Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.21 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.39 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.41 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.91 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.74 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.94 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.84 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.54 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 12.46 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.5 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.49 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.36 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.64 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.63 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.01 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.19 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.97 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 83.99 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.71 (no injury) 
Df Jason Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.12 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.7 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.31 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.5 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.06 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.16 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.48 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.37 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.1 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 47.59 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.53 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.82 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.24 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.34 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.16 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.24 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.65 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfred Forsberg SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Giorgio Grasso SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  39  45  25
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  15  40  39  44

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 40)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((45 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 44) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  15  40  39  44
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  39  45  25

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 5 (44 - 39); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 5 ((40 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Lucas Soramaki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Lucas Soramaki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
A true six pointer here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/08 - 7:59 PM
Probably slightly unlucky here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/15 - 10:04 PM
 
 
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