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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
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League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             13    2   15     Gk Kevin Hawkins          16    1   17
Df Daniel Baldwin         11    2   13     Sw Kai Laidlaw             8    2   10
Df Cliff Trickelbank      10    2   12     Df Axel Lacour            14    1   15
Df Evan Burke             10    2   12     Df Markus Jacobsen        12    2   14
Mf Lucas Phillips         12    2   14     Df Baron Jackson           8    1    9
Mf Ryan Ludley            12    2   14     Mf Gabriel Welbeck        13    2   15
Mf Ryan White             10    2   12     Mf Gareth Scott            8    1    9
Mf Lewis Coppell          10    2   12     Fw Fernando Cano          14    1   15
Mf Rodrigo Fernández       8    2   10     Fw William Hay            13    1   14
Fw Raphaël Soulie         13    2   15     Fw William Bell            8    0    8
Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    2   15     Fw Nick Baumann            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 37 62 30        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 38 24 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 37 71 30         T O T A L S       17 10 38 24 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.9 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.65 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.71 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.55 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.17 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.65 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.49 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.77 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.0 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.48 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.92 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.93 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.85 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.11 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.72 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.08 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.53 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.76 (no red card)

Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.58 (no red card)

Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 2.85 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.76 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.94 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.05 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.29 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ryan Ludley is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.03 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Lewis Coppell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lewis Coppell new match skill level =  5
      Lewis Coppell new match total level =  7
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.86 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.03 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.44 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.87 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.18 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.89 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.03 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.82 (no injury) 
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) 
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Raphaël Soulie SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 29 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Axel Lacour SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 13

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15   0  37  66  30
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  10  38  24  43

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 38)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 21 ((66 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  10  38  24  43
  Swindon Supermarine FC   15   0  37  66  30

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 3 (43 - 37) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 66) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Axel Lacour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1
 
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John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/20 - 9:18 PM
 
 
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