(H)
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ILKESTON TOWN FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Andrés Ramos 16 2 18 Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18
Sw Declan Wilson 16 2 18 Df Louie Hill 11 2 13
Df Liam Conner 13 2 15 Df Melvin Bergman 10 2 12
Df Shayne Porter 13 2 15 Df Bailey Dowson 9 2 11
Df Leo McNeill 9 2 11 Df Diego Acosta 8 2 10
Df Tommaso Mazza 13 2 15 Mf Simon Fischer 17 2 19
Mf Esteban Gallet 10 2 12 Mf Theo Cleverley 13 2 15
Mf Kenzie Munro 8 2 10 Mf Cristobal Benitez 12 2 14
Fw André Souza 14 2 16 Mf Alvaro Madrigal 14 2 16
Fw Moritz Schultze 10 2 12 Fw Lawrence Clark 13 1 14
Fw Mark Wilson 8 2 10 Fw Ben Byrne 12 2 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 56 22 38 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 46 64 28
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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18 18 56 22 47 T O T A L S 18 0 46 64 28
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.82 (no red card)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.34 (no red card)
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.49 (no red card)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.49 (no red card)
Df Tommaso Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.83 (no red card)
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.68 (no red card)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.71 (no red card)
Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.05 (no second yellow)
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.22 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.87 (no red card)
Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.31 (no red card)
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.83 (no red card)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.89 (no red card)
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.51 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.55 (no red card)
Mf Alvaro Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.56 (no red card)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.1 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.41 (no injury)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no injury)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury)
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.34 (no injury)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.53 (no injury)
Df Tommaso Mazza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.57 (no injury)
Mf Esteban Gallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.11 (no injury)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury)
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.72 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Schultze: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.56 (no injury)
Fw Mark Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.2 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.3 (no injury)
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no injury)
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.48 (no injury)
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.77 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.12 (no injury)
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.77 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.13 (no injury)
Mf Alvaro Madrigal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.65 (no injury)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.18 (no injury)
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.59 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: André Souza SL 14
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16
intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
- Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16
intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 18 18 56 22 47
FC United of Manchester 18 0 46 64 28
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (47 - 46) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 64) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 10 ((56 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Tommaso Mazza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Tommaso Mazza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Liam Conner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Tommaso Mazza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Df Liam Conner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw André Souza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 18 0 46 64 28
Ilkeston Town FC 18 18 56 22 47
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 56)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 21 ((64 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 47) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Alvaro Madrigal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Alvaro Madrigal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Alvaro Madrigal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Alvaro Madrigal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Mf Alvaro Madrigal
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1
Match Notes
Tied on points and ahead by just 3 goals going into this weekend. A draw would be lovely. A loss is likely
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/10 - 3:16 PM
Amazing shot on target percentage and sweeper stops was pretty good too.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/15 - 10:27 PM
Yeah, random numbers were definitely in Steve’s favor, though he deserved to win anyway
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/18 - 5:36 PM