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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18     Gk Florian De Vos         16    2   18
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18     Sw Fortunato  Torres      14   -2   12
Mf Louie Ince             12    1   13     Df Trevor Harewood        12    0   12
Mf Benjamin Richman       10    1   11     Df Ben Lawrence           12   -1   11
Df Jake McDonald          10    2   12     Df Benjamin Newton        10    1   11
Df Jermaine Jackson        9    2   11     Df Gabriel Williams        8   -1    7
Mf Leon Baumann           14    2   16     Mf Luis Schmidt           10    1   11
Mf Eoghan Carroll         13    2   15     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    2   12
Mf Samuel Rose            12    2   14     Mf Benjamin Healy          8    2   10
Fw Greg Scott             14    2   16     Fw Ian Hunter              8    2   10
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15     Fw Aaron Compton           7   -2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 23 69 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 41 33 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  3  4  0  0    
       0  0  3  6  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 26 75 31         T O T A L S       21 15 52 33 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.39 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)

Mf Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.41 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card)

Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.28 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.8 (no second yellow)

Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.21 (no second yellow)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.51 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 73.24 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 72.84 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 41.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 10.37 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 49.67 (no second yellow)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 34.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 22.5 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 48.15 (no second yellow)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 46.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 39.14 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 66.51 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Compton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 5.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 46.95 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.25 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.44 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 33.77 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 3.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Jake McDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jake McDonald new match skill level =  5
      Jake McDonald new match total level =  7
Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 40.41 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 2.85 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Eoghan Carroll is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Eoghan Carroll new match skill level =  7
      Eoghan Carroll new match total level =  9
Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 76.52 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 78.86 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.24 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 79.65 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 49.13 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.23 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.44 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 45.53 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 82.69 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 92.98 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.19 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Compton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 54.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Trevor Harewood SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  18  21  69  31
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  52  33  15

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 52)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((69 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((21 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Jermaine Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 79.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 76.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 73.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 87.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  52  33  15
  Welling United FC        18  18  21  69  31

Harrogate Railway AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 21)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 69) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((52 - 31) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Uh oh! Looks like an easy win for Welling today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/13 - 7:01 PM
"Welling United FC are free of injuries *entering* today's match" - there's hoping that Al continues his experiment in div2
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/14 - 5:28 PM
WEL...we played a tough match but were unable to slow down the stellar Welling U today. WEL done Eduard!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 7:27 PM
Two injuries but nothing too bad?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 7:28 PM
Win #2 by pks
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 5:59 PM
And we were quite "slowed down" by HAR's new strategy
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:00 PM
You did at least end the season for my captain
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:01 PM
 
 
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