(H)

Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann

Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WELLING UNITED FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Robert Morgan 16 2 18 Gk Florian De Vos 16 2 18 Sw Douglas Pereira 16 2 18 Sw Fortunato Torres 14 -2 12 Mf Louie Ince 12 1 13 Df Trevor Harewood 12 0 12 Mf Benjamin Richman 10 1 11 Df Ben Lawrence 12 -1 11 Df Jake McDonald 10 2 12 Df Benjamin Newton 10 1 11 Df Jermaine Jackson 9 2 11 Df Gabriel Williams 8 -1 7 Mf Leon Baumann 14 2 16 Mf Luis Schmidt 10 1 11 Mf Eoghan Carroll 13 2 15 Mf Juan Jose Carmona 10 2 12 Mf Samuel Rose 12 2 14 Mf Benjamin Healy 8 2 10 Fw Greg Scott 14 2 16 Fw Ian Hunter 8 2 10 Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 2 15 Fw Aaron Compton 7 -2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 23 69 31 ROSTER TOTALS 18 12 41 33 15 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 3 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 18 26 75 31 T O T A L S 21 15 52 33 15 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.39 (no red card) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card) Mf Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card) Mf Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.41 (no red card) Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card) Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.28 (no red card) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.8 (no second yellow) Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.49 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.21 (no second yellow) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.51 (no red card) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 10 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.04 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 73.24 (no red card) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 72.84 (no red card) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 41.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 29.13 (no red card) Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.77 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 10.37 (no second yellow) Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 49.67 (no second yellow) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 34.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 22.5 (no red card) Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.19 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 48.15 (no second yellow) Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 46.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 39.14 (no red card) Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 66.51 (no red card) Fw Aaron Compton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 5.94 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 46.95 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0% - Gk chance of injury = 5.0% Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.25 (no injury) Mf Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.44 (no injury) Mf Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 33.77 (no injury) Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 3.37 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Jake McDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Jake McDonald new match skill level = 5 Jake McDonald new match total level = 7 Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 40.41 (no injury) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 2.85 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Eoghan Carroll is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Eoghan Carroll new match skill level = 7 Eoghan Carroll new match total level = 9 Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 76.52 (no injury) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 78.86 (no injury) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.5% Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.24 (no injury) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 79.65 (no injury) Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 49.13 (no injury) Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.23 (no injury) Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.44 (no injury) Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury) Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 45.53 (no injury) Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 82.69 (no injury) Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 92.98 (no injury) Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.19 (no injury) Fw Aaron Compton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 54.01 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Leon Baumann SL 14 - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) 9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick) 10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Trevor Harewood SL 12 - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16 intRndPk = 45 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 18 18 21 69 31 Harrogate Railway AFC 21 15 52 33 15 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 52) Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((69 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((21 - 15) / 3); result rounded up Welling United FC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Df Jermaine Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Jake McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 79.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 49.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Louie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Louie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 76.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Mf Louie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 73.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Mf Benjamin Richman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 87.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Harrogate Railway AFC 21 15 52 33 15 Welling United FC 18 18 21 69 31 Harrogate Railway AFC is Playing For A Draw! Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 21) Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 69) / 2; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((52 - 31) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 4 1: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Gabriel Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WELLING UNITED FC 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes

Uh oh! Looks like an easy win for Welling today...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/13 - 7:01 PM

"Welling United FC are free of injuries *entering* today's match" - there's hoping that Al continues his experiment in div2
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/14 - 5:28 PM


WEL...we played a tough match but were unable to slow down the stellar Welling U today. WEL done Eduard!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 7:27 PM

Two injuries but nothing too bad?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 7:28 PM

Win #2 by pks
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 5:59 PM

And we were quite "slowed down" by HAR's new strategy
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:00 PM

You did at least end the season for my captain
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 6:01 PM