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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17     Gk Gordon Wilkins         16    1   17
Sw Fortunato  Torres      13    2   15     Sw Luís Morais            14    1   15
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Lucas Soramaki         13    0   13
Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15     Df Charles Clarke         13    0   13
Df Ben Lawrence           12    2   14     Df Markus Jacobsen         8    2   10
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      13    0   13     Df Gareth Trickelbank      4    2    6
Mf Lewis Smith            10    1   11     Mf Ashton Ali             13    0   13
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15     Mf Niklas König            8    2   10
Fw Cooper Smith           11    2   13     Fw Giorgio Grasso         14    1   15
Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16     Fw Mark Solomon           13    0   13
Fw William Torres          8    2   10     Fw William Hay             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 45 24 54        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 42 23 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 45 24 63         T O T A L S       20 15 42 23 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.24 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.96 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.58 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.16 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.73 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Juan Jose Carmona new match skill level =  7
      Juan Jose Carmona new match total level =  7

Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.93 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.94 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.81 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.02 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.88 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.23 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.47 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.19 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.94 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.65 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.53 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.94 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 43.38 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Fortunato  Torres is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.01 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.73 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.48 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.07 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.76 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.08 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.86 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.42 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 61.28 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.76 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.59 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.56 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.88 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.76 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.37 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.45 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Giorgio Grasso SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 100 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  45  18  63
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  15  42  23  38

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (63 - 42); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((45 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 62.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  15  42  23  38
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  45  18  63

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 45)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 3 ((23 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
 
Match Notes
Tough match today against Friend of Olmec John Holden...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/28 - 8:50 PM
Tough as diamonds.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/28 - 10:38 PM
Unlucky match all the way around for Al
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/29 - 8:16 PM
Oh my...that was indeed a rough one today. Congratulations on the win John.

Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/29 - 11:01 PM
We needed some good juju heading back our way.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/30 - 8:13 PM
 
 
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