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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           14    1   15     Gk Einar Iversen           5    2    7
Sw Douglas Pereira        14    2   16     Sw Andy Scott             11    0   11
Df Louie Ince             14    2   16     Df Randy Lane             10    0   10
Df Jake McDonald          14    1   15     Df Abe Castro              8    1    9
Df Amine Monteil           5    2    7     Df Darren Dowson           5    1    6
Mf Thomas Williams        14    0   14     Df Samuel Hawkins          2    2    4
Mf Leon Baumann           14    1   15     Mf Nathan Barry           10    1   11
Fw Eoghan Carroll         15    2   17     Mf Leon Laidlaw            5    2    7
Fw Greg Scott             11    1   12     Mf Don Lindsay             2    2    4
Fw Lorenzo Santana        10    1   11     Fw Jose Luis Soler         5    2    7
Fw Nils Pettersson         6    2    8     Fw Glen Ali                2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 16 38 29 48        ROSTER TOTALS       7 11 29 22 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 38 29 57         T O T A L S       10 11 36 22 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.68 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.49 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.4 (no red card)

Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.08 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.94 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.05 (no red card)

Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.76 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.16 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.02 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.04 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.81 (no red card)

Sw Andy Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.68 (no red card)

Df Randy Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card)

Df Abe Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.1 (no red card)

Df Darren Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.26 (no red card)

Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.98 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.45 (no red card)

Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.26 (no red card)

Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.57 (no red card)

Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.58 (no red card)

Fw Glen Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.53 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.07 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.07 (no injury) 
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.85 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.78 (no injury) 
Fw Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.17 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.81 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.44 (no injury) 
Sw Andy Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no injury) 
Df Randy Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.85 (no injury) 
Df Abe Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.02 (no injury) 
Df Darren Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.78 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.67 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.29 (no injury) 
Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.71 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eoghan Carroll SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Einar Iversen SL 5

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Randy Lane SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 14

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15  16  38  29  57
  Droylsden FC             10  11  36  22  11

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 21 (57 - 36); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 9 ((38 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jake McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Amine Monteil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 44.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 56.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 43.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 39.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             10  11  36  22  11
  Welling United FC        15  16  38  29  57

Droylsden FC is Playing For A Draw!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 38)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  DROYLSDEN FC 0
 
Match Notes
A valiant effort from the young GK almost delivered an unlikely point.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 05/26 - 7:16 AM
We should probably try to acquire Iversen at any cost - if this performance is representative
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/26 - 10:21 AM
 
 
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