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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wim Cryuff             16    2   18     Gk Diego Forlán            8    1    9
Sw Harrison Johnson       16    2   18     Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15
Df Linus Sjögren          13    2   15     Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15
Df Christopher McLachlan   8    1    9     Df Luke Crowley           13    2   15
Mf Sofiane Fernandez      13    2   15     Df Earl Kelly             13    1   14
Mf Lior Tal                8    2   10     Df Agostino Beretta       16    1   17
Fw Oliver Bauer           13    2   15     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    2   15
Fw Ben Frings             12    2   14     Mf Reuben Byrne           13    2   15
Fw Noah Monkhouse         11    2   13     Fw Matais Juarez          14    2   16
Fw Erik Nygård            11    1   12     Fw Liam Thwaite           13    2   15
Fw Markus Laursen          8    2   10     Fw Paul Millot            10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 24 25 64        ROSTER TOTALS       9 15 61 30 43    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 25 25 73         T O T A L S       12 16 61 30 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.76 (no red card)

Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.42 (no red card)

Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.79 (no red card)

Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.35 (no red card)

Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.53 (no red card)

Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.31 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.94 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card)

Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.09 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.17 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 28.87 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 51.11 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.68 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 0.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Luke Crowley new match skill level =  7
      Luke Crowley new match total level =  9

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 61.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.06 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 78.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.59 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 97.61 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.49 (no second yellow)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 71.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 47.47 (no injury) 
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 54.22 (no injury) 
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 50.32 (no injury) 
Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 47.5 (no injury) 
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 43.89 (no injury) 
Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 16.13 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 74.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 2.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ben Frings is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 89.38 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 54.99 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 72.54 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.42 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 2.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Sean Callahan is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 24.12 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 34.84 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 38.53 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.16 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.52 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 38.63 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 5.25 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 26.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Linus Sjögren SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         18  18  25  25  73
  Tonbridge Angels         12  16  55  30  43

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 18 (73 - 55); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  16  55  30  43
  Burton Albion FC         18  18  25  25  73

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 18 (43 - 25); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 73) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 5.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 2  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
Burton are going well in 3rd place. Expecting a good match.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/13 - 10:31 PM
Again not much between the teams but we didn’t get the breaks.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:38 AM
 
 
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