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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Green           16    2   18     Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19
Sw Harry Stewart          16    2   18     Df Aarron Lowe            14    2   16
Df Lucas Hill             14    2   16     Df Riley O'Brien          11    2   13
Df Matías Cruz            10    1   11     Df Lee Robertson          13    2   15
Df Hernan Torres          10    2   12     Df Louis Butler           12    2   14
Mf Pedro Gomes            10    2   12     Mf Oscar Hall             16    0   16
Mf Joe Walsh              15    2   17     Mf Oliver Johnstone       10    2   12
Fw Cong Li                15    2   17     Mf Reuben Thomas          12    2   14
Fw Kyle Bate              13    2   15     Fw Marty Allen            13    2   15
Fw Jermaine Rogers        11    2   13     Fw Bradley McCarthy       13    2   15
Fw Aaron Quinn            10    2   12     Fw Isaac Howells          11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 39 29 57        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 58 42 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 39 29 66         T O T A L S       22  0 58 42 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.19 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.45 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.53 (no red card)

Df Matías Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.94 (no red card)

Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.62 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.28 (no red card)

Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.07 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Joe Walsh new match skill level =  8
      Joe Walsh new match total level =  10

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.41 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.97 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.2 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 25.63 (no red card)

Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.03 (no red card)

Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 45.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.0 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.43 (no red card)

Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.85 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.99 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.04 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.54 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.98 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 83.48 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.96 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.62 (no injury) 
Df Matías Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.69 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.48 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.42 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.84 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.46 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.24 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 1.27 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Kenzie Ross is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury) 
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.47 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.4 (no injury) 
Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.2 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.58 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.31 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.78 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Marty Allen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marty Allen new match skill level =  7
      Marty Allen new match total level =  9
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.97 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           21  18  39  22  66
  AFC Wimbledon            22   0  58  42  36

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (66 - 58) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 36) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Matías Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 66.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 35.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 73.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            22   0  58  42  36
  Kendal Town FC           21  18  39  22  66

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 39)
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 69.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 12.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 15.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Oscar Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
 
Match Notes
Need a win here to avenge the earlier home loss
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/23 - 10:38 PM
One assumes Dave will be using his GPPs here and not in the Semi Final against Welling.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 06/24 - 4:13 PM
You have to cut your losses at some point
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/25 - 10:09 PM
Thug tactics by the league leaders
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/29 - 9:13 PM
 
 
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