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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mason Butcher           9    2   11     Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18
Sw çngel Gabriel López     9    1   10     Sw Declan Wilson          10    2   12
Df Chris Howard           13   -1   12     Df Liam Conner            10    2   12
Df Jeff Charlton          12    0   12     Df Declan MacLellan        8    2   10
Df Marcelo Fernandez       6    2    8     Df Shayne Porter           8    2   10
Mf Gast?n Franco          11    0   11     Mf Leron  Katz             8    2   10
Mf Giles Walsh            10    2   12     Mf Simon Müller            8    2   10
Fw Sveinur Hansen         13    1   14     Mf Kenzie Munro            8    2   10
Fw Rhys McColl            15    0   15     Mf Kai Jones               7    2    9
Fw Santiago Rubio         11    2   13     Fw Craig Porterfield       8    2   10
Fw Alfred Forsberg         7    2    9     Fw Kai Burke               8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 10 32 23 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 32 39 20    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  6  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 10 32 31 60         T O T A L S       18 15 36 39 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.72 (no red card)

Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.28 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.17 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.06 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.06 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.82 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.83 (no second yellow)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.66 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.97 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.5 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.6 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.75 (no second yellow)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.27 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.28 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.45 (no red card)

Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.14 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.19 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.69 (no red card)

Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.5 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 69.65 (no injury) 
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      çngel Gabriel López is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      çngel Gabriel López new match skill level =  5
      çngel Gabriel López new match total level =  6
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.2 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.56 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.85 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.76 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.48 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 49.19 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.31 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.53 (no injury) 
Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.78 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.0 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.71 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.02 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.01 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rhys McColl SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Liam Conner SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          11   6  32  31  60
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  36  39  20

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 24 (60 - 36); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Chris Howard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  36  39  20
  Carlton Town FC          11   6  32  31  60

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 32)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((39 - 31) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Kenzie Munro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Kai Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Lucky point for us.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 02/21 - 8:01 PM
 
 
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