(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC MARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Erik Holm 13 1 14 Gk Thiago Alves 7 0 7
Sw Fortunato Torres 7 2 9 Sw Alfredo Herrera 8 0 8
Df Vegar Aas 14 2 16 Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8
Df Henry Martin 13 2 15 Df Niall Dunn 7 0 7
Df James Hays 8 2 10 Df Andres Bianchi 5 2 7
Mf Gregor Millar 14 1 15 Mf Jack Barry 10 0 10
Mf Andy Watson 11 2 13 Mf Andrea Marino 6 2 8
Fw Ian Hunter 13 2 15 Mf Miksa Kelemen 5 0 5
Fw Conor Thompson 13 2 15 Fw Francesco Sala 8 0 8
Fw William Torres 9 1 10 Fw Joel Sansom 8 0 8
Fw John MacDonald 8 2 10 Fw Liam McColl 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 9 41 28 50 ROSTER TOTALS 7 8 22 23 24
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 9 41 28 59 T O T A L S 7 8 22 23 24
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.6 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.63 (no red card)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no red card)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)
Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.14 (no red card)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.75 (no red card)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.04 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.5 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.37 (no red card)
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.77 (no red card)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.24 (no red card)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.68 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.96 (no red card)
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.22 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.94 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.83 (no red card)
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.85 (no red card)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.36 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.67 (no red card)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.26 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.6 (no injury)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.16 (no injury)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.01 (no injury)
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.17 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.69 (no injury)
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.04 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.34 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury)
Sw Alfredo Herrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.08 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.38 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.1 (no injury)
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.82 (no injury)
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.47 (no injury)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no injury)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.55 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Vegar Aas SL 14
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 7
intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jack Barry SL 10
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 13
intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 41 28 59
Marine FC 7 8 22 23 24
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 37 (59 - 22); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((41 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 46
1: Attack for Df Henry Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Henry Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Henry Martin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Andy Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 44.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 99.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 65.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 81.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
27: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 28.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
32: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
33: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
34: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 70 (Shot Off Target)
37: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
38: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
39: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
40: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 99.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
41: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
42: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 73.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
43: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
44: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
45: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 66 (Shot Off Target)
46: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 7 8 22 23 24
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 41 28 59
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 41)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 10 - MARINE FC 0