(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MARINE FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Joe Cameron 6 1 7 Gk Hayden Barnes 8 2 10
Df Jose Antonio Romero 11 0 11 Sw Jamie Johnson 11 2 13
Df Ryan Richardson 8 0 8 Df Kenny White 9 2 11
Df Finlay Cooke 6 0 6 Df Thomás Lebre 8 2 10
Df Andy Simpson 5 2 7 Mf Ivan Blanco 9 1 10
Mf Andrea Marino 9 0 9 Mf Cameron Hill 8 2 10
Mf Bailey Hills 7 0 7 Mf Harrison McBrayne 8 2 10
Mf Jack Barry 5 2 7 Fw Facundo Bruno 14 -1 13
Fw Cliff Ruddle 12 0 12 Fw Jamie Carroll 13 2 15
Fw Cristobal Saez 10 0 10 Fw Nils Schneider 13 -1 12
Fw Joel Sansom 5 2 7 Fw William Johnson 13 1 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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7 0 32 23 29 ROSTER TOTALS 10 13 21 30 54
0 0 0 0 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
7 0 35 26 34 T O T A L S 10 13 21 30 54
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.75 (no red card)
Df Jose Antonio Romero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.98 (no red card)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.52 (no red card)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.16 (no red card)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.69 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.64 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.84 (no red card)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.87 (no red card)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.82 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.06 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.91 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.51 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.34 (no second yellow)
Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.17 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.48 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.81 (no red card)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.85 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.44 (no red card)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.61 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 2
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 61.74 (no injury)
Df Jose Antonio Romero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.4 (no injury)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.79 (no injury)
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.59 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.93 (no injury)
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.06 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.15 (no injury)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.82 (no injury)
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.02 (no injury)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 51.02 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.0 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Jamie Johnson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.03 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.55 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no injury)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.71 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Cameron Hill is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.76 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.18 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.56 (no injury)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.08 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cliff Ruddle SL 12
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 8
intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 14
- Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 7 0 35 26 34
Luton Town FC 10 13 21 30 54
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 13 (34 - 21); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 54) / 5; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 60.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 88.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 55.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 10 13 21 30 54
Marine FC 7 0 35 26 34
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (54 - 35); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 34) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Ivan Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 81.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 2.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 52.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 72.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 40.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 81.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 67.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 26.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 59 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MARINE FC 2 - LUTON TOWN FC 6
Match Notes
LUT brought some firepower to this one!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 02/22 - 3:31 PM