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Tuesday, December 3rd, 2024 - 06:01:13 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    1   17     Gk Christopher Clyne      15    2   17
Df Thomas McIntyre        13    2   15     Sw Nathan Khan            16    2   18
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15     Df Guillaume Chauvin      13    2   15
Df Luca Lorimar           10    1   11     Df Michael Thompson        8    2   10
Df Julian Kahn            10    1   11     Df Lukas Mas               8    2   10
Mf William Carney         13    2   15     Mf Ethan Duckworth        11    2   13
Mf Owen Roberts           12    2   14     Mf Jake Brooks            11    1   12
Mf Liam Murphy            16    1   17     Mf Ethan Alexander        10    2   12
Mf Lewis Coppell           8    2   10     Mf James Fox               9    2   11
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Jamie Hunt             13    2   15
Fw Agustin Martínez       12    2   14     Fw Juan Martin            13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 52 56 29        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 35 48 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  2  0  5  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 61 56 29         T O T A L S       17 20 35 53 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.04 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.18 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.29 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.73 (no second yellow)

Df Julian Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.94 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.93 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.37 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.0 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.6 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.56 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.11 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.28 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.12 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.96 (no red card)

Df Lukas Mas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.41 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ethan Duckworth new match skill level =  6
      Ethan Duckworth new match total level =  8

Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.68 (no red card)

Mf James Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.42 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.15 (no red card)

Fw Juan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.88 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.04 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) 
Df Julian Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.44 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.91 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.44 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Agustin Martínez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.88 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.16 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Mas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.17 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Alexander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.84 (no injury) 
Mf James Fox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.69 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.48 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Christopher Clyne SL 15

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Guillaume Chauvin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  61  56  29
  Clevedon Town FC         17  20  35  48  29

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 35)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((56 - 48) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 7 ((61 - 29) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Luca Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Julian Kahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Luca Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         17  20  35  48  29
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  61  56  29

Clevedon Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 61)
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((48 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((35 - 29) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Lukas Mas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Got to get something on them here to make some progress in the promotion race.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 06/28 - 8:10 PM
It wasn't pretty but we did what we had to do even with the unlucky red card.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 07/01 - 5:38 PM
 
 
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