(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
TONBRIDGE ANGELS LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Diego Forlán 12 2 14 Gk Dylan Foster 14 0 14
Df Agostino Beretta 19 2 21 Sw Jamie Johnson 8 2 10
Df Leo Bergström 13 2 15 Df Robin Ostrander 13 2 15
Df Algenon Webster 13 2 15 Df Fabian Schulz 16 1 17
Df Earl Kelly 12 2 14 Df Kenny White 7 2 9
Mf Mateo Philippe 13 2 15 Df Louis Turner 6 2 8
Mf Malte Axelsson 10 2 12 Mf Jonathan Heddle 8 2 10
Mf Kunio Yamamoto 8 2 10 Mf Victor Shepard 4 2 6
Fw Liam Thwaite 14 2 16 Fw Jamie Carroll 8 2 10
Fw Paul Millot 13 2 15 Fw Facundo Bruno 8 2 10
Fw Joe Evans 11 2 13 Fw Nathan Phillips 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 0 65 37 44 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 49 16 26
2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 5 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 1 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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16 0 65 42 48 T O T A L S 14 10 49 17 26
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 2.48 (no red card)
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.65 (no red card)
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.31 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.9 (no second yellow)
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.85 (no red card)
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.49 (no red card)
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.39 (no red card)
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.75 (no red card)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.95 (no red card)
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card)
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.73 (no red card)
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.3 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.87 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.75 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.76 (no red card)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.04 (no red card)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.94 (no red card)
Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.06 (no red card)
Df Louis Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.71 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.68 (no second yellow)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.66 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.93 (no red card)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.13 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.03 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.22 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 58.78 (no injury)
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.46 (no injury)
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.76 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Leo Bergström is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Leo Bergström new match skill level = 7
Leo Bergström new match total level = 9
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.1 (no injury)
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.35 (no injury)
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.9 (no injury)
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.39 (no injury)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.0 (no injury)
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.43 (no injury)
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 95.86 (no injury)
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.36 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.82 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.37 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.59 (no injury)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.09 (no injury)
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.29 (no injury)
Df Louis Turner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.22 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.37 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.09 (no injury)
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.17 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.54 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Nathan Phillips is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Nathan Phillips new match skill level = 2
Nathan Phillips new match total level = 4
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14
intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
- Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 16 0 59 42 48
Luton Town FC 14 10 49 17 24
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 49)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 13 ((42 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 7 ((59 - 24) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 14 10 49 17 24
Tonbridge Angels 16 0 59 42 48
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 59)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 48) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Luton are struggling at the foot of the table. A game we should win, fingers crossed.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/27 - 10:01 PM
Agree, Andy, this season has not been our best. D3 is in our (near) future!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/29 - 11:41 AM
Re-le-gate, good times, come on!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/29 - 8:09 PM
We made hard work of winning but just about did enough.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/05 - 10:15 PM