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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15
Sw Sylar Mack             12    2   14     Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13
Df Steven Gascoigne       13    2   15     Df Jason Weber            11    0   11
Df Louie Hill             11    2   13     Df Christopher Macbeth     9    0    9
Df Melvin Bergman         10    2   12     Df Jeff Charlton           7    2    9
Mf Simon Fischer          17    2   19     Mf Giles Walsh            13    0   13
Mf Theo Cleverley         13    2   15     Mf Federico Gentile        8    1    9
Mf Alvaro  Madrigal       14    2   16     Fw Alfred Forsberg        15    0   15
Fw Baron Marshall         16    2   18     Fw Santiago Rubio         12    2   14
Fw Lawrence Clark         13    1   14     Fw Taylor Cockayne        11    0   11
Fw Noah Schäfer            8    2   10     Fw Rhys McColl             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 40 50 42        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 42 22 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 40 50 51         T O T A L S       15  0 42 22 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.03 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.79 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.27 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.43 (no red card)

Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.72 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.17 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.55 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.44 (no red card)

Df Jason Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.18 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.79 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.97 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.23 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.28 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 14.39 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.05 (no injury) 
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.99 (no injury) 
Df Melvin Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.45 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.43 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 5.22 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.57 (no injury) 
Df Jason Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.26 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.52 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.25 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.0 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.36 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfred Forsberg SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18  14  40  50  51
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  42  22  50

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 9 (51 - 42); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 14 ((50 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Madrigal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  42  22  50
  FC United of Manchester  18  14  40  50  51

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 10 (50 - 40); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Senator Mike and the Millers are 2 pts back on the tables and will be looking to overtake us here. No holding back here for our home defense (*ence)
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/10 - 3:15 PM
That extra C in defense paid off on Df as our Gk was not playing his A-game today
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/18 - 5:34 PM
 
 
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