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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HYDE FC                                    BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ramon Garcia           14    2   16     Gk Morgan James           16    2   18
Sw Archie Robertson       10    2   12     Sw Cameron Harrison       11    0   11
Df Thiago Carvalho        13    2   15     Df Julian Koch            13    1   14
Df Fernando Ayala         12    2   14     Df Kåre  Sivertsen        11    2   13
Df Luke Collins           11    2   13     Df Andy Davis             10    2   12
Mf Paul Thompson          14    2   16     Mf Damien Monin           13    0   13
Mf Francisco Alvarez      13    2   15     Mf Claudio Ferrari        13    1   14
Mf Eirik Paulsen           8    2   10     Fw Sebastian Colombo      14    2   16
Fw Takeo Nakamura         14    2   16     Fw Carrington Wilkins     13    1   14
Fw Kian Williams          13    2   15     Fw Billy Moore            16    0   16
Fw Billy Arnold            8    2   10     Fw Jacob Coppell           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 12 42 41 41        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 39 27 56    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 12 42 43 48         T O T A L S       18 11 39 27 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.6 (no red card)

Sw Archie Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.95 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.01 (no red card)

Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.75 (no red card)

Df Luke Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.13 (no red card)

Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.93 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.61 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.32 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.75 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.59 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.12 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.56 (no red card)

Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.83 (no red card)

Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.69 (no red card)

Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.94 (no red card)

Df Andy Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.15 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.13 (no red card)

Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.8 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.29 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.4 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.53 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.69 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.89 (no injury) 
Sw Archie Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.8 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.85 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.99 (no injury) 
Df Luke Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.06 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.95 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.37 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.46 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 14.33 (no injury) 
Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.8 (no injury) 
Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.03 (no injury) 
Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.03 (no injury) 
Df Andy Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.51 (no injury) 
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.68 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.58 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Thompson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 16

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 14

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 81 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  16  12  42  43  48
  Boston United            18  11  39  27  56

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 9 (48 - 39); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((43 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Paul Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            18  11  39  27  56
  Hyde FC                  16  12  42  43  48

Boston United Fw Attacks = 14 (56 - 42); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 67.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HYDE FC 0  -  BOSTON UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Need to make the most of home advantage
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/23 - 7:00 AM
We dipped into the relegation zone last session. We really have to get back out.
Rob (Boston United) 06/29 - 3:03 AM
Couldn’t take advantage of that home crowd
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/30 - 5:49 AM
The lucky PK was the difference maker. We'll take it!
Rob (Boston United) 07/06 - 1:49 AM
 
 
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