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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         16    2   18     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Sw Fortunato  Torres      14   -2   12     Df Michio Mori            13    1   14
Df Trevor Harewood        12    0   12     Df Cathal O'Brien         10    0   10
Df Ben Lawrence           12   -1   11     Df Jack Brennan           10    1   11
Df Benjamin Newton        10    1   11     Df Shaun Gibson            8    2   10
Mf Luis Schmidt           10    1   11     Mf Danny Monkhouse        13    2   15
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    2   12     Mf Arturo Molina           8    2   10
Fw Conor Thompson         13    0   13     Fw Antonio Leon           14    1   15
Fw Cooper Smith           13    2   15     Fw Jay Palmer             14    2   16
Fw William Torres         12    2   14     Fw Matthew Peverell       13    2   15
Fw Braulio  Salas         14    2   16     Fw Owen Harrison          10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 12 34 23 58        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 45 25 57    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 15 38 23 67         T O T A L S       17  0 45 25 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 81.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 76.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 45.11 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 22.1 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 64.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 60.66 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 88.45 (no second yellow)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 64.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 11.23 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 33.91 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 31.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 20.21 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 29.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.33 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.62 (no red card)

Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.0 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.86 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.56 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.57 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.75 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.09 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.06 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.04 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.72 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 31.11 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.69 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 94.89 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 12.42 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 34.61 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.02 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 4.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Braulio  Salas is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Braulio  Salas new match skill level =  7
      Braulio  Salas new match total level =  9

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 75.17 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 7.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Michio Mori is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Michio Mori new match skill level =  7
      Michio Mori new match total level =  8
Df Cathal O'Brien: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 50.39 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 71.36 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 84.33 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 53.75 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 8.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Antonio Leon is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Antonio Leon new match skill level =  7
      Antonio Leon new match total level =  8
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 46.41 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 31.17 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 53.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Conor Thompson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jay Palmer SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  38  23  60
  Kingstonian FC           17   0  39  25  50

Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (60 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 43.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17   0  39  25  50
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  38  23  60

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 12 (50 - 38); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 68.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jay Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Tough match at home for our lads.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/13 - 7:01 PM
"Tough" being the operative word.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 02/15 - 5:06 PM
Close match here. Well played Jason!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/15 - 7:26 PM
 
 
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