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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Shaiming Ma            15    2   17     Gk Kieran Singh            7    1    8
Sw Rhys Porter            16    0   16     Sw Dae-Jung  Park          4    2    6
Df Ryan Lasserre          12    1   13     Df Theo Cole               6    1    7
Df Diego Rocha            12    0   12     Df Patrick Hopkins         6    2    8
Mf Martín Paz             13    0   13     Df Mateo Hernández         5    2    7
Mf James Gallaher         12    1   13     Df Andy Rees               4    2    6
Mf Dominic Webster        12    0   12     Mf William Pedersen        7    2    9
Fw Tom Duckworth          16    0   16     Mf Conor Farrell           6    2    8
Fw Ellis Boddington       12    1   13     Mf Juan Fernández          6    0    6
Fw Cristobal Ramos        15    0   15     Fw Claudio Gentile         7    0    7
Fw Joe Cleverley           9    2   11     Fw Andrew Young            6    0    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 25 38 55        ROSTER TOTALS       8  6 28 23 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 25 38 64         T O T A L S        8  6 28 23 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.69 (no second yellow)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.64 (no red card)

Df Diego Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.49 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.55 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.73 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.94 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.69 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ellis Boddington new match skill level =  6
      Ellis Boddington new match total level =  7

Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.06 (no red card)

Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.73 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card)

Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.76 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)

Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.67 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.06 (no red card)

Df Andy Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.42 (no second yellow)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.29 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.46 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Shaiming Ma: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.95 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.51 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no injury) 
Df Diego Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.56 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.04 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.43 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.86 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.9 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.66 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.41 (no injury) 
Sw Dae-Jung  Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.43 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.25 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no injury) 
Df Andy Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.71 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.9 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.3 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.66 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Duckworth SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 7

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Pedersen SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Shaiming Ma SL 15

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                17  16  25  38  58
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   6  28  23  13

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 30 (58 - 28); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 8 ((38 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 4 ((25 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 42

1: Attack for Df Diego Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Diego Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 65.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 21.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 22.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 7.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Dominic Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 95.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 82.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 71.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 87.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 63.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 31.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Joe Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
39: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 24.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Cristobal Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
41: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
42: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 91.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   6  28  23  13
  AFC Fylde                17  16  25  38  58

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 25)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 8  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
 
Match Notes
resting
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/19 - 10:12 PM
well beaten
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/23 - 9:02 PM
thrashed really
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/23 - 9:02 PM
 
 
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