(H)

Marine FC
Derek Purvis

Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S MARINE FC MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Thiago Alves 11 2 13 Gk Benjamin Lewis 9 1 10 Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8 Sw Jake James 11 2 13 Df Niall Dunn 8 -1 7 Df William Cockham 10 1 11 Df Ryan Richardson 8 0 8 Df Louie Bentinck 9 0 9 Df Tihamér Pap 5 2 7 Df Hans Hahn 9 -1 8 Mf Adi Peretz 8 0 8 Mf Thomas Constant 13 2 15 Mf Bailey Hills 4 2 6 Mf Zachary Bell 10 -1 9 Mf Glenn Ellis 3 2 5 Mf George Thomas 9 2 11 Fw Joel Sansom 9 0 9 Fw Eirik Iversen 11 0 11 Fw Cliff Ruddle 8 -2 6 Fw Luca Bell 11 1 12 Fw Reuben Dowson 6 0 6 Fw Isak Ekström 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 0 30 19 21 ROSTER TOTALS 10 13 28 35 33 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 0 33 22 24 T O T A L S 10 13 31 38 33 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.14 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.15 (no red card) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.29 (no red card) Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.58 (no red card) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.11 (no red card) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.23 (no red card) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.2 (no red card) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.65 (no red card) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no red card) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card) Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.26 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.14 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.22 (no red card) Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 22.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 81.06 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 71.58 (no red card) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card) Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 2.44 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.76 (no second yellow) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 31.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 79.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 8.59 (no red card) Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 42.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 57.31 (no red card) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 1.65 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Eirik Iversen new match skill level = 6 Eirik Iversen new match total level = 6 Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 75.64 (no red card) Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 6.46 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.4 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.37 (no injury) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 27.98 (no injury) Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 95.26 (no injury) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 49.6 (no injury) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 78.91 (no injury) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 78.47 (no injury) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 41.3 (no injury) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 34.32 (no injury) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.95 (no injury) Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 72.17 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.93 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 76.68 (no injury) Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.1 (no injury) Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.15 (no injury) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.87 (no injury) Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.0 (no injury) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.96 (no injury) Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.84 (no injury) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.31 (no injury) Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Joel Sansom SL 9 - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 70 (pk blocked) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Thomas Constant SL 13 - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 11 intRndPk = 62 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 13 0 33 22 24 Mossley AFC 10 13 31 38 28 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 31) Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 38) / 2; rounded up) Marine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 28) / 5); result rounded up Marine FC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Df Niall Dunn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 10 13 31 38 28 Marine FC 13 0 33 22 24 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 33) Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((38 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 24) / 3); result rounded up Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df William Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Hans Hahn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Mf George Thomas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E MARINE FC 0 - MOSSLEY AFC 3