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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     EVESHAM UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maximilian Isaksson     8    2   10     Gk Robert Dunn            12    2   14
Df Delling Andersen        7    0    7     Sw Ollie Russell          12    0   12
Df Mateo Hernández         5    0    5     Df Lorenzo Ibañez         16    0   16
Df Theo Cole               5    1    6     Df Paul Werner            10    1   11
Df Ellis Fisher            4    1    5     Df Francisco Duarte       13    0   13
Mf Alfredo Vargas          8    2   10     Df James Fergusen          8    2   10
Mf Conor Farrell           8    0    8     Mf Alvarez  Madrigal       9    1   10
Mf Devon Lennon            6    2    8     Mf Glenn Stevens           9    2   11
Mf Luca Cole               4    2    6     Fw Gregg Foster           16    0   16
Fw Moritz Hofmann          6    0    6     Fw Thomas Clarke          13    0   13
Fw Jordi Iglesias          6    2    8     Fw Albert Francis          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 23 32 14        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 50 21 40    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 30 32 14         T O T A L S       14 12 50 21 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)

Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.85 (no red card)

Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.72 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.75 (no red card)

Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.26 (no red card)

Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.49 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.08 (no red card)

Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.63 (no red card)

Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.76 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card)

Fw Jordi Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.94 (no red card)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.0 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.41 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.33 (no red card)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.73 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.02 (no red card)

Df James Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.0 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.9 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.36 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.03 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.51 (no injury) 
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.89 (no injury) 
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.88 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury) 
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.29 (no injury) 
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.58 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.81 (no injury) 
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.08 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.1 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no injury) 
Fw Jordi Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.47 (no injury) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Robert Dunn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.51 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.87 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no injury) 
Df James Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.94 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.33 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.58 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfredo Vargas SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Robert Dunn SL 12

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lorenzo Ibañez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 8

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   10   0  30  32  14
  Evesham United FC        14  12  50  21  40

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 50)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Alfredo Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Luca Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Conor Farrell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Devon Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        14  12  50  21  40
  Forest Green Rovers FC   10   0  30  32  14

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 12 ((50 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df James Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 31.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 11.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 88.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1  -  EVESHAM UNITED FC 6
 
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