(H)
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC FYLDE HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk James MacLeod 16 2 18 Gk Florian De Vos 13 1 14
Sw Benjamin White 12 1 13 Sw Fortunato Torres 7 2 9
Df Matheo Seguin 16 0 16 Df Freddy Arboleda 13 2 15
Df Jeff Hughes 13 0 13 Df Gabriel Williams 13 2 15
Df Simon Bellec 16 0 16 Df Trevor Harewood 8 2 10
Df Vilgot Falk 10 2 12 Mf Cliff Gerrard 7 2 9
Df Ryan Lasserre 9 2 11 Mf Michael Möller 7 2 9
Mf Euan Barclay 16 0 16 Fw Justin Neumann 14 2 16
Mf Angel Vazquez 10 2 12 Fw Conor Thompson 13 2 15
Fw William Peverell 12 1 13 Fw William Torres 9 2 11
Fw Max Daly 12 0 12 Fw John MacDonald 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 13 68 28 25 ROSTER TOTALS 14 9 40 18 51
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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18 13 68 28 34 T O T A L S 14 9 40 18 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.16 (no red card)
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.28 (no red card)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.46 (no red card)
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.44 (no red card)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)
Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.12 (no red card)
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.22 (no red card)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.24 (no red card)
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.57 (no red card)
Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.7 (no red card)
Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.65 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.41 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.62 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.1 (no second yellow)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.49 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.46 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.66 (no second yellow)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.62 (no red card)
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.86 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.16 (no red card)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.75 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.73 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.01 (no injury)
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.72 (no injury)
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.61 (no injury)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.77 (no injury)
Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury)
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.35 (no injury)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.51 (no injury)
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.82 (no injury)
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.18 (no injury)
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.71 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.04 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.47 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.83 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury)
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.96 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.7 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.17 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matheo Seguin SL 16
- Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 13
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Justin Neumann SL 14
- Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 16
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Fylde 18 13 68 28 34
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 40 18 51
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 40)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 6 ((68 - 51) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Vilgot Falk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Simon Bellec
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Simon Bellec
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 14 9 40 18 51
AFC Fylde 18 13 68 28 34
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 68)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((40 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC FYLDE 1 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
Match Notes
No answers against Phil's James MacLeod today. Looks like another season of 3rd Division football for our poor Beavers. Well played Phil!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/14 - 9:36 PM
Quite the Df line for Phil in this one. Highest this season?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/15 - 8:29 PM