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Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 - 09:12:56 AM (gmt)
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          15    2   17     Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18
Sw Jamie Johnson          16    2   18     Df Diego Acosta           12    0   12
Df Robin Ostrander        13    2   15     Df Finlay Butcher          8    2   10
Df Thomás Lebre           12    2   14     Df Louie Hill              7    2    9
Mf Victor Shepard         12    1   13     Mf Glen Banks             10    2   12
Mf Jonathan Heddle        12    1   13     Mf Theo Cleverley          9    2   11
Mf Nathan Dean             8    2   10     Mf Kian Sansom             8    2   10
Fw Nathan Phillips        14    1   15     Mf Sam Clark               8    2   10
Fw Jamie Carroll          12    1   13     Mf Owen MacLean            6    2    8
Fw William Johnson        12    1   13     Fw Noah Schäfer           10    2   12
Fw Nils Schneider         11    2   13     Fw David Ball              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 29 36 54        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 31 51 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  0  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 18 32 36 60         T O T A L S       18  0 31 51 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.84 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.26 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.45 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.09 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.41 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.05 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.62 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.56 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.87 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.86 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.87 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.07 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.66 (no red card)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.68 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.79 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.62 (no red card)

Mf Sam Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.03 (no red card)

Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.44 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.28 (no red card)

Fw David Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.19 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.59 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.74 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.22 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.04 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.36 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.61 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.67 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.68 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.35 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.08 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.64 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no injury) 
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.37 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.79 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.55 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.05 (no injury) 
Mf Owen MacLean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.79 (no injury) 
Fw David Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Diego Acosta SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            17  18  32  36  60
  FC United of Manchester  18   0  31  51  21

FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (60 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 51) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18   0  31  51  21
  Luton Town FC            17  18  32  36  60

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 32)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 8 ((51 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Owen MacLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 4  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
 
Match Notes
At division-leading Luton is a tough hill to climb. Maybe we can park the bus in this one and escape with an undeserved point
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/23 - 4:13 PM
C-Ball showed us no mercy
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/30 - 1:10 PM
 
 
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