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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Carlton Fortune-West   12    2   14     Gk George Lindsay          7   -1    6
Sw Jake James             11    1   12     Df Afonso Gomes            8    0    8
Df Erik Meyer             12    2   14     Df Andy Simpson            8    0    8
Df Sying Yáng              9    1   10     Df Niall Dunn              7    0    7
Df William Cockham         7    1    8     Df Craig Lynch             3    2    5
Mf Sam Bate               12    2   14     Mf Rory MacDonald          8    0    8
Mf Thomas Constant        12    1   13     Mf Andrea Marino           6    2    8
Mf George Thomas          10    1   11     Mf Miksa Kelemen           5    0    5
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           10    1   11     Fw Alexander Murphy        9    0    9
Fw Luca Bell              13    0   13     Fw Joel Sansom             8    0    8
Fw Sam Lewis               7    2    9     Fw Agustín Rubio           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 32 49 22        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 28 21 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  0  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 37 49 28         T O T A L S        6  0 28 21 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.33 (no red card)

Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.25 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.83 (no red card)

Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.7 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.68 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.99 (no red card)

Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.61 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.45 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.37 (no red card)

Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.89 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.77 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.52 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.64 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card)

Df Craig Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.29 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card)

Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.7 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.41 (no red card)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.79 (no red card)

Fw Agustín Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.38 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.14 (no injury) 
Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.76 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.24 (no injury) 
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.86 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.91 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.83 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no injury) 
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.44 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.36 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.99 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Sam Lewis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sam Lewis new match skill level =  4
      Sam Lewis new match total level =  6

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.81 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.24 (no injury) 
Df Craig Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.69 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.86 (no injury) 
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.4 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.02 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 
Fw Agustín Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.64 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Bell SL 13
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 7

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alexander Murphy SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 12

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              14  12  37  49  25
  Marine FC                6   0  28  21  22

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 28)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 14 ((49 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((37 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 11.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 50.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Sying Yáng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 66.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 49.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 45.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 45.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 51.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 59.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 91.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 70.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 50.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 78.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 39.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                6   0  28  21  22
  Mossley AFC              14  12  37  49  25

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 37)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
Marine FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Andy Simpson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 5  -  MARINE FC 0
 
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