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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron              8    1    9     Gk Owen Brudenell          8    2   10
Df Jared Lampton          13    2   15     Sw Regõ Balog              7    2    9
Df Daniel Baldwin         12    1   13     Df Cesar Ruiz             12    2   14
Df Cliff Trickelbank       7    2    9     Df Josh Martin            11    2   13
Mf Rodrigo Fernández      13    2   15     Df Trevor Jordan           8    1    9
Mf Lucas Phillips         12    2   14     Df Riley Wright            6    2    8
Mf Ryan Ludley            10    1   11     Mf Louie Richman          12    1   13
Mf Francis Jankel          7    2    9     Mf Patrick Gallaher       11    1   12
Mf Lewis Coppell          11    2   13     Mf Joshua Allen            4    2    6
Fw Leo O'Donnell          13    2   15     Fw George Taylor          12    0   12
Fw Joe Baker              12    2   14     Fw Jay Meldrum            11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 37 62 29        ROSTER TOTALS      10  9 44 31 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 37 71 29         T O T A L S       10  9 44 31 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.35 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.98 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.24 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.34 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.61 (no second yellow)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.8 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.8 (no second yellow)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.33 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.92 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.69 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.85 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.54 (no red card)

Sw Regõ Balog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.03 (no red card)

Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.68 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.05 (no red card)

Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.64 (no red card)

Df Riley Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.83 (no red card)

Mf Louie Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.98 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.25 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.95 (no red card)

Fw George Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.75 (no red card)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.47 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.17 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.94 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.7 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.84 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.86 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.81 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.08 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.38 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) 
Sw Regõ Balog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.87 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.55 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.72 (no injury) 
Df Riley Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.16 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Richman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.71 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.99 (no injury) 
Fw George Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jared Lampton SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 8

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cesar Ruiz SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 8

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9   0  37  71  29
  Bridgwater Town          10   9  44  31  23

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 44)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 20 ((71 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 23) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Jared Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 11.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Daniel Baldwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Jared Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 93.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 65.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 62.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Lucas Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          10   9  44  31  23
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9   0  37  71  29

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 37)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 71) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 5 ((44 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 72.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Riley Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 19.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 12.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Josh Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Riley Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 4  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 2
 
Match Notes
Supermarine at home, Bridgwater making the trek — Division 3 football doesn't wait for anyone to feel comfortable. Both sides need to come out swinging from the first whistle.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/12 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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