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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Namir  Cohen            8    0    8     Gk Carlton Fortune-West   11    0   11
Df Zadok  Chazan          10    0   10     Sw Gordon Gregory          8    2   10
Df Paul Lange              8    0    8     Df Erik Meyer             10    1   11
Df Kyle Harris             7    2    9     Df Billy Slater            9    0    9
Mf Martin Kristensen      12    0   12     Df Sying Yáng             11    1   12
Mf Nick Weiss             11    0   11     Mf Jason Ellis            11    2   13
Mf Liam Fitzgerald        11    0   11     Mf Sam Bate               10    0   10
Mf William Pedersen       11    0   11     Mf Thomas Constant        10    0   10
Fw Moritz Hofmann         15    0   15     Mf Giorgio Testa           8    1    9
Fw Gabriel Whiteside      15    0   15     Fw Sam Lewis              12    1   13
Fw Peter East              7    0    7     Fw Luca Bell              10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 27 45 37        ROSTER TOTALS      11 10 32 42 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  2  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  0 27 45 46         T O T A L S       11 10 34 42 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Df Zadok  Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no red card)

Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.82 (no red card)

Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.19 (no red card)

Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.29 (no red card)

Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.15 (no red card)

Mf Liam Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.7 (no red card)

Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.29 (no red card)

Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.02 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.52 (no red card)

Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.25 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.33 (no red card)

Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.56 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)

Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.72 (no red card)

Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card)

Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.56 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.28 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.35 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.16 (no red card)

Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.84 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.35 (no injury) 
Df Zadok  Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no injury) 
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.89 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.0 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) 
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.39 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.91 (no injury) 
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.17 (no injury) 
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.85 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no injury) 
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.12 (no injury) 
Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.88 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.63 (no injury) 
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.2 (no injury) 
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.54 (no injury) 
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.71 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.15 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.64 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Moritz Hofmann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 11

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sam Lewis SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Namir  Cohen SL 8

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  27  45  46
  Mossley AFC              11  10  34  42  26

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 12 (46 - 34); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((45 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Kyle Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 33.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 44.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Nick Weiss
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Peter East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              11  10  34  42  26
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  27  45  46

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 27)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
another game where we fail to score
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/17 - 10:08 PM  
Zero goals. Zero conclusions. The match occurred, which is the most that can be said for it.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/19 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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