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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianluca De Luca       11    2   13     Gk Ryan Caron             14    2   16
Sw Sean Buckley           13    2   15     Df Thomas McIntyre        12    2   14
Df Theo Crowley           10    2   12     Df Luca Lorimar           10    1   11
Df Joshua Murphy          10    2   12     Df Julian Kahn            10    1   11
Df Niklas Schneider       10    2   12     Df Mason Shaw              8    2   10
Mf Marco Rizzo            13    1   14     Mf William Carney         13    2   15
Mf Stefan Jensen          10    2   12     Mf Owen Roberts           12    2   14
Fw Sean Sturridge         14    2   16     Mf Mons Nygård            12    2   14
Fw Carlton Lloyd          14    2   16     Mf Liam Murphy            16    1   17
Fw Jed Monkhouse          13    2   15     Fw Agustin Martínez       11    2   13
Fw Corey Page              7    2    9     Fw Jermaine Bennett        8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 36 26 56        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 46 60 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 15 36 26 65         T O T A L S       16  0 53 60 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.48 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.32 (no red card)

Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.91 (no second yellow)

Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.84 (no red card)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.25 (no red card)

Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.05 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.13 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.58 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.95 (no red card)

Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.77 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.94 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.75 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.26 (no red card)

Df Julian Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.03 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.7 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.92 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.54 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.09 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.22 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.21 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.33 (no injury) 
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.05 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.22 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.15 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.74 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.84 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.26 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.27 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.1 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no injury) 
Df Julian Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.16 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.64 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.25 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jermaine Bennett is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Sturridge SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 14

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 11

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  36  26  65
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  53  60  23

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (65 - 53) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((36 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Niklas Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 28.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 33.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 15.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  53  60  23
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  36  26  65

Swindon Supermarine FC is Playing For A Draw!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 36)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((60 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 48.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 2  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0
 
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