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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         14    2   16     Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18
Df Henry Martin           12    2   14     Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17
Df Trevor Harewood        11    2   13     Df Liam Conner            13    1   14
Df Ben Lawrence            9    2   11     Df Leo McNeill            12    2   14
Mf Andy Watson            14    0   14     Df Shayne Porter          15    1   16
Mf Benjamin Healy         13    1   14     Mf Kenzie Munro           10    2   12
Fw Conor Thompson         14    2   16     Mf Padraig Conley          7    2    9
Fw Ian Hunter             13    2   15     Fw André Souza            14    2   16
Fw William Torres         12    1   13     Fw Cole Hamilton          13    2   15
Fw Luke Cockburn          15    1   16     Fw Kai Burke              12   -1   11
Fw Cooper Smith           10    2   12     Fw Leon Fischer            9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 38 28 72        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 44 21 52    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  3 42 28 81         T O T A L S       18 17 44 21 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 45.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 19.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 81.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.65 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 17.9 (no red card)

Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 62.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 44.07 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 34.28 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 81.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 31.92 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 69.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 45.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 29.3 (no red card)

Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 9.87 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 26.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 28.69 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.71 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.79 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.51 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.87 (no red card)

Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.31 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.42 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.29 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.13 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 63.79 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.01 (no injury) 
Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.0 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Andy Watson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Andy Watson new match skill level =  7
      Andy Watson new match total level =  7
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.39 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 42.6 (no injury) 
Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 37.23 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.14 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 18.62 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 45.58 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 38.7 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 47.32 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 68.2 (no injury) 
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 88.53 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 15.15 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 0.93 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cole Hamilton is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 9.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Kai Burke is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kai Burke new match skill level =  6
      Kai Burke new match total level =  5
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke Cockburn SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Shayne Porter SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   0  42  21  81
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  44  21  46

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 37 (81 - 44); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  44  21  46
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19   0  42  21  81

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (46 - 42); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 81) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 55.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 75.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 65.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
On the plus side, our suspended players are back
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/28 - 8:38 AM
We suffered a big injury today against Mr. Turner's club...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/28 - 7:11 PM
Evidently Mr Watson isn’t built for this rough play…..that Harrogate MF has more holes than Swiss cheese
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/28 - 9:39 PM
 
 
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