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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Erik Holm              14    2   16     Gk João Barbosa           13    2   15
Df Vegar Aas              13    2   15     Sw Mason Ferdinand        13    1   14
Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15     Df Michael Wright         13    2   15
Df Gabriel Williams       12    2   14     Df Pedro Almeida          13    0   13
Df Henry Martin           11    2   13     Df Bobby Hill              8    2   10
Mf Cliff Gerrard          11    2   13     Mf Ashton Hill            13    2   15
Mf Benjamin Healy         10    2   12     Mf Riley MacTavish        12    2   14
Fw John MacDonald         12    2   14     Mf Andrés Castillo        11    2   13
Fw Ian Hunter             12    2   14     Fw Brandon Collins        14    2   16
Fw Conor Thompson          9    1   10     Fw Dave Shilton           13    2   15
Fw Lee Collins             8    2   10     Fw Jermaine Terry         14    1   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 57 25 48        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 38 42 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 57 25 57         T O T A L S       15 14 38 42 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.74 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.17 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.23 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no red card)

Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.56 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.87 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.44 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.17 (no red card)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.94 (no red card)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.83 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.57 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk João Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.89 (no red card)

Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.51 (no red card)

Df Michael Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.46 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.3 (no red card)

Df Bobby Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.76 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.21 (no red card)

Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.21 (no red card)

Mf Andrés Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.74 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.79 (no red card)

Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.21 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.29 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.65 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no injury) 
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.38 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.1 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.95 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.58 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.58 (no injury) 
Df Michael Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.53 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.93 (no injury) 
Df Bobby Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.83 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no injury) 
Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Riley MacTavish is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Riley MacTavish new match skill level =  6
      Riley MacTavish new match total level =  8
Mf Andrés Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.93 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.51 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vegar Aas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: João Barbosa SL 13

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Brandon Collins SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   0  57  25  57
  Hyde FC                  15  14  38  36  46

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (57 - 38); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((57 - 46) / 5); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 5.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Henry Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  15  14  38  36  46
  Harrogate Railway AFC    16   0  57  25  57

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 57)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 49.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 38.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Andrés Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Harrogate Railway AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  HYDE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Checklist Carl rolling into Harrogate with that cautious playbook — but The Commish won't be reading from any script today. This rivalry has teeth.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/06 - 7:31 PM  
That draw would do nicely thank you very much
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/08 - 9:27 AM  
We could not solve Carl's Goalie today. Well done Mr. Oakes!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/13 - 7:08 PM  
Cautious Carl living up to his name tonight — a point on the road is exactly the kind of safe result he'd tick off his checklist. The Commish will want more than this at home though.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/13 - 7:30 PM  
Harrogate battered our goal but we held on for a very valuable and surprising point
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/14 - 10:12 AM  
 
 
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