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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
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Carlton Town FC
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League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins          16    1   17     Gk Benjamin Guery         13    2   15
Sw Kai Laidlaw            14    1   15     Df Chris Howard           14    1   15
Df Leonardo Greco         11    2   13     Df Francis Martin         12    2   14
Df Baron Jackson          11    2   13     Df Murray Taylor          11    0   11
Mf Gareth Scott           13    1   14     Df Carleton Griffiths      7    2    9
Mf Gabriel Welbeck        13    0   13     Mf Charlie Hayes          12    1   13
Fw Fernando Cano          14    0   14     Mf Alexander Daly         12    2   14
Fw Sam East               15    1   16     Mf Liam Dixon             12    1   13
Fw William Bell           10    2   12     Mf Alistair Carr          11    2   13
Fw Benjamin Christensen    9    2   11     Fw Trevor Hanny           13    2   15
Fw Nick Baumann            7    2    9     Fw Hayden Richardson       7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 26 27 62        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 49 53 24    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  6  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 26 27 69         T O T A L S       15  0 58 53 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.16 (no red card)

Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.82 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.01 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.77 (no second yellow)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.89 (no red card)

Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.5 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.44 (no red card)

Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.89 (no second yellow)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.29 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 19.62 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)

Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.2 (no red card)

Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 70.66 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.67 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.87 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 25.08 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.69 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.91 (no second yellow)

Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) 
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 87.16 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 74.61 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 13.48 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.23 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 15.27 (no injury) 
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 45.76 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 3.76 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Benjamin Christensen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Benjamin Christensen new match skill level =  5
      Benjamin Christensen new match total level =  7
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 74.18 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 44.76 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.0 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Francis Martin is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.55 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.37 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.21 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Liam Dixon is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.86 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Alistair Carr is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alistair Carr new match skill level =  6
      Alistair Carr new match total level =  8
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.75 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Chris Howard SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   18  15  26  27  65
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  58  48  24

Carlton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 4 (65 - 58) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw William Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw William Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  58  48  24
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   18  15  26  27  65

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 26)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((48 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 65) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 1
 
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