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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            13    2   15     Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19
Df Ciaran Healy           13    2   15     Sw Gordon Brown           14    2   16
Df Mathias Sørensen       13    2   15     Df Devon Allen            13    1   14
Df Noah Gerrard           12    0   12     Df Sylar Kelley           14    1   15
Df Sean Callahan          10    1   11     Mf Bernd Lang             13    2   15
Mf Sean Long              13    2   15     Mf Jonas Koch             17    2   19
Mf Bailey Oakes           10    2   12     Fw Arran Fergus           13    2   15
Mf Kunio Yamamoto         10    2   12     Fw Evan Gerrard           12    2   14
Mf Julian Caballero       10    2   12     Fw Nils Pettersson        12    2   14
Fw Michael Turner         15    2   17     Fw Samuel Rose            10    2   12
Fw Matais Juarez          13    2   15     Fw Greg Scott              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 53 51 32        ROSTER TOTALS      19 16 29 34 66    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 53 53 39         T O T A L S       22 16 29 34 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 8.75 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.54 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.27 (no red card)

Df Noah Gerrard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.13 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.05 (no red card)

Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.59 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.31 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.89 (no red card)

Mf Julian Caballero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.88 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.65 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.32 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.4 (no red card)

Sw Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.46 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.58 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.37 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.12 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.53 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.79 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.46 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 99.38 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 15.1 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 3.96 (no injury) 
Df Noah Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.15 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 78.0 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.61 (no injury) 
Mf Julian Caballero: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.29 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 67.99 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.69 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 93.23 (no injury) 
Sw Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.71 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.08 (no injury) 
Df Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.28 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 72.19 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 85.91 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.59 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.64 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 44.27 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         17   0  53  53  39
  Welling United FC        22  16  29  34  66

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 10 (39 - 29); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((53 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 8.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Julian Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Bailey Oakes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Sean Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 8.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 57.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        22  16  29  34  66
  Tonbridge Angels         17   0  53  53  39

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 7 (66 - 53) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  WELLING UNITED FC 3
 
Match Notes
Done the treble over Welling last season, can we continue this run?
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/14 - 2:06 PM
One player stood out by a mile.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/16 - 7:13 PM
Fergus was indeed impressive
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/20 - 11:20 PM
 
 
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