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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18     Gk Morgan James           12    2   14
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    2   18     Sw Cameron Harrison        8    2   10
Df Louie Ince             14    1   15     Df Florian König          13    2   15
Df Jermaine Jackson        9    2   11     Df Sebastian Castillo     13    1   14
Mf Thomas Williams        14    2   16     Df Timothy Holden         13    2   15
Mf Leon Baumann           14    2   16     Df Julian Koch            10    2   12
Mf Eoghan Carroll         13    2   15     Mf Damien Monin           13    1   14
Mf Samuel Rose            11    2   13     Mf Santiago Rojas         12    2   14
Mf Greg Scott             11    2   13     Mf Gunnar Vik              7    0    7
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    2   15     Fw Sebastian Colombo      13   -2   11
Fw Nils Pettersson        12    2   14     Fw Carrington Wilkins     11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 26 73 29        ROSTER TOTALS      14 10 56 35 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  8  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 27 81 29         T O T A L S       14 10 60 38 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.33 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.05 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.32 (no red card)

Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no red card)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.31 (no second yellow)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.67 (no red card)

Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.02 (no red card)

Mf Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.66 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.56 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.53 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no red card)

Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.46 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Florian König new match skill level =  7
      Florian König new match total level =  9

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.46 (no red card)

Df Timothy Holden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card)

Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.42 (no red card)

Mf Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.89 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.44 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.2 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.49 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.08 (no injury) 
Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.06 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.24 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.76 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.56 (no injury) 
Mf Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.45 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.1 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.77 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.34 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.69 (no injury) 
Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.03 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Florian König is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Florian König new match skill level =  4
      Florian König new match total level =  6
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.79 (no injury) 
Df Timothy Holden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.03 (no injury) 
Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no injury) 
Mf Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.79 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.22 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.73 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.22 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 12

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Castillo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  18  27  81  29
  Boston United            14  10  51  38  22

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 51)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 22 ((81 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jermaine Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Samuel Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            14  10  51  38  22
  Welling United FC        18  18  27  81  29

Boston United is Playing For A Draw!
Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 27)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 81) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 4 ((51 - 29) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Julian Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Timothy Holden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Sebastian Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Timothy Holden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  BOSTON UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Eduard's team is so hard to beat at home. This is going to be a slog.
Rob (Boston United) 02/08 - 3:30 AM
I have to win a couple of home games to reach my goals
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 8:50 PM
i.e. WEL not getting relegated
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 8:50 PM
A red card AND an injury?! WTH?!
Rob (Boston United) 02/15 - 3:12 AM
 
 
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