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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Leo Dury               15    2   17     Gk Diego Forlán            8    1    9
Sw Nathan Khan            15    2   17     Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15
Df Nicolas Gonzalez       10    2   12     Df Sean Callahan          13    1   14
Df Johan  Kristensen      10    2   12     Df Luke Crowley           13    2   15
Mf Joseph Terry           10    2   12     Df Trevor Cockham         10    2   12
Mf Theo Ruby               9    2   11     Df Mathias Sørensen        8    2   10
Fw Freddie Rees           14    2   16     Mf Joe Barrett            14    2   16
Fw Tobias Walter          13    2   15     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    2   15
Fw Ruben Diez             16    0   16     Mf Reuben Byrne           13    2   15
Fw Ollie O'Brien          11    2   13     Fw Liam Thwaite           13    1   14
Fw H?lder Silva           11    1   12     Fw Paul Millot            10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 24 23 72        ROSTER TOTALS       9 15 51 46 26    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  3  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 26 26 76         T O T A L S       12 16 58 46 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.21 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.73 (no red card)

Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.7 (no red card)

Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.61 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.55 (no red card)

Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.27 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.23 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.29 (no second yellow)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.79 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.08 (no red card)

Fw H?lder Silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.22 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 50.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 18.89 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 95.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.99 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 71.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 60.95 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.63 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.83 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.59 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 44.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 35.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 30.77 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no injury) 
Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 98.27 (no injury) 
Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 45.3 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 72.48 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 23.37 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 28.94 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 99.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 71.69 (no injury) 
Fw H?lder Silva: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 23.04 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 87.53 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 41.69 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 59.8 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.52 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.56 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.92 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.49 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 57.59 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 53.21 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.68 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.71 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 68 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       18  17  26  26  76
  Tonbridge Angels         12  16  58  46  26

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 18 (76 - 58); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 59.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  16  58  46  26
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       18  17  26  26  76

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 5 ((46 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 76) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
Dynamo are struggling but our away form is terrible. A goalless draw?
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/04 - 6:31 PM
Almost right. Lost to a penalty kick.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/13 - 10:27 PM
 
 
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