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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Lewis         10    2   12     Gk Kieran Singh            5    0    5
Sw Paul MacKenzie          9    1   10     Df Mathias Garreau         7    2    9
Df William Cockham        14    0   14     Df Theo Cole               7   -2    5
Df Louie Bentinck         11    2   13     Df Felipe Cardoso          6    0    6
Df Hans Hahn              10    0   10     Df Graham Sansom           5    1    6
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           11   -2    9     Mf Conor Farrell           8    0    8
Mf Algenon White           7    1    8     Mf Luca Cole               8    0    8
Mf Robbie Mitchell         6    2    8     Mf Daniel James            6    2    8
Fw Isak Ekström           10    2   12     Mf Juan Fernández          2    2    4
Fw Nico Fuchs             10    0   10     Fw Peter East              9    0    9
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz       8    2   10     Fw Andrew Young            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 10 37 25 32        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 26 28 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 10 40 28 37         T O T A L S        5  0 26 28 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.48 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.89 (no red card)

Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.34 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.09 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.25 (no red card)

Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.62 (no red card)

Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.32 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.82 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.43 (no red card)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.4 (no red card)

Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.13 (no red card)

Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.36 (no red card)

Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.67 (no red card)

Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.47 (no red card)

Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.82 (no red card)

Mf Daniel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.84 (no red card)

Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.62 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.92 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no injury) 
Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.25 (no injury) 
Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no injury) 
Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.54 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.58 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.51 (no injury) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Singh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.12 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.45 (no injury) 
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.6 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.38 (no injury) 
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.26 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.03 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.23 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.13 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no injury) 
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.85 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Singh SL 5

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter East SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 10

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              12  10  40  28  37
  Forest Green Rovers FC   5   0  26  28  15

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (37 - 26); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 9 ((40 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 51.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 45.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 92.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Hans Hahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 54.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 61.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 37.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 59.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 7.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 83.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 44.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   5   0  26  28  15
  Mossley AFC              12  10  40  28  37

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 40)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 37) / 5;  rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 6  -  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
 
Match Notes
Good luck Mark
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/08 - 6:40 PM
Hey! Nice result for us!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/12 - 10:12 PM
Hey! Nice result for you!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/13 - 10:15 PM
Just awful
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 02/13 - 10:15 PM
 
 
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