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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Thiago Alves           11    2   13
Sw Keith Davis            13    2   15     Df Alfredo  Herrera        2    2    4
Df Steven Gascoigne       13    1   14     Df Andy Simpson            8    0    8
Df Diego Acosta           12    0   12     Df Ryan Richardson         8    0    8
Df Louie Hill              7    2    9     Df Afonso Gomes            5    2    7
Mf Glen Banks             10    2   12     Mf Adi Peretz              8    0    8
Mf Theo Cleverley          9    2   11     Mf Andrea Marino          10   -2    8
Mf Sam Clark               8    2   10     Mf Rory MacDonald          5    2    7
Fw Baron Marshall         13    2   15     Fw Joel Sansom             9    0    9
Fw Noah Schäfer           10    2   12     Fw Reuben Dowson           6    0    6
Fw Harley Dowson           8    2   10     Fw Alexander Murphy        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 35 33 37        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 27 23 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  2  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 35 33 46         T O T A L S       13  0 29 25 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.99 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.76 (no red card)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.2 (no red card)

Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.79 (no red card)

Mf Sam Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.44 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.02 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.75 (no second yellow)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.38 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.17 (no red card)

Df Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 76.3 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 31.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 30.3 (no red card)

Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 25.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 41.45 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 75.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 85.34 (no red card)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 82.87 (no red card)

Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 28.22 (no red card)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 62.18 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 70.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.62 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 33.56 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 62.56 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.85 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Diego Acosta is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 87.9 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Cleverley: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.36 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Clark: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 15.61 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 97.22 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 27.58 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 81.51 (no injury) 
Df Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.51 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Alfredo  Herrera is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alfredo  Herrera new match skill level =  1
      Alfredo  Herrera new match total level =  3
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.77 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.44 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.97 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.87 (no injury) 
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.46 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.63 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.31 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Alexander Murphy is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alexander Murphy new match skill level =  3
      Alexander Murphy new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Steven Gascoigne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18  15  35  33  46
  Marine FC                13   0  28  25  22

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 18 (46 - 28); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 4 ((33 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Theo Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 91.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Sam Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Sam Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Glen Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 3.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                13   0  28  25  22
  FC United of Manchester  18  15  35  33  46

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 35)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 6  -  MARINE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Thrilled to host the Mariners. Derek is always game for a tough matchup, or at least a rough one!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/23 - 4:12 PM
That went way better than expected
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/30 - 1:09 PM
 
 
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